{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","ticker":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1303.68,"volume_24hr":1303.68,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.6691312789917,"normalized_volume":11.889822959899902,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":876.39,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.3% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.96,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":182.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:04:40.890795Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:04:40.890795Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:43.851671Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","chart_24h":[0.0,70.02,109.02,266.02,275.02,477.02,529.02,532.02,538.02,544.02,559.02,565.02,578.95,603.95,625.95,627.95,730.95,951.95,1064.55,1303.68],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.29","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":182.0,"volume_24hr":182.0,"prob_24h_change":0.96,"volume_24h_change":182.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.720796585083008,"normalized_volume":7.611469268798828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.34","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":205.0,"volume_24hr":205.0,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":205.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.121675491333008,"normalized_volume":7.961354732513428,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:15:41.203374Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:14:18.668090Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.51,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.39","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":29.0,"volume_24hr":29.0,"prob_24h_change":0.81,"volume_24h_change":29.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7173209190368652,"normalized_volume":3.244459867477417,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:00:16.694492Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:00:16.694492Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5,0.88,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.49","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.17999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":173.13,"volume_24hr":173.13,"prob_24h_change":0.76,"volume_24h_change":173.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.555245399475098,"normalized_volume":7.466977119445801,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.57,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.76,0.76]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.44","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.16000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":166.94,"volume_24hr":166.94,"prob_24h_change":0.6,"volume_24h_change":166.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.435638427734375,"normalized_volume":7.362584590911865,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.54","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":268.6,"volume_24hr":268.6,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":268.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.06624698638916,"normalized_volume":8.785772323608398,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.59","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":153.0,"volume_24hr":153.0,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":153.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.152711868286133,"normalized_volume":7.115647792816162,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.69","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":65.01,"volume_24hr":65.01,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":65.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.6409759521484375,"normalized_volume":4.923416614532471,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:15:41.203374Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:14:18.668090Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.39,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST10AM-26JUL31-T4.64","question":"Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":61.0,"volume_24hr":61.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":61.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.473480701446533,"normalized_volume":4.777227878570557,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T01:34:08.396071Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T01:34:08.396071Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust10am/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust10am-26jul31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST10AM-26JUL31","as_of":"2026-07-08T16:56:19.655524Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?\" — top market at 56% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}