{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","ticker":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1049.0,"volume_24hr":845.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.29486656188965,"normalized_volume":13.321625709533691,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1049.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.11% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":451.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-10T17:46:48.721699Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T17:46:48.721699Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.578128Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","chart_24h":[1.0,0.0,5.0,436.0,536.0,766.0,771.0,811.0,845.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.10","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.10","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.10% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.11% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.10% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":551.0,"volume_24hr":451.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":451.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.42972183227539,"normalized_volume":12.40870189666748,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.12","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.12","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.12% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.13% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.12% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":271.0,"volume_24hr":168.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":168.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.863504409790039,"normalized_volume":9.782613754272461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":120.0,"volume_24hr":120.0,"prob_24h_change":0.72,"volume_24h_change":120.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.494515419006348,"normalized_volume":7.1597819328308105,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.16","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.16","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.16% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.17% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.16% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.44999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":106.0,"volume_24hr":106.0,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":106.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.013887405395508,"normalized_volume":6.797342300415039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.36","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.36","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.36% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.37% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.36% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.18","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.18","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.18% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.19% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.18% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.22999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.20","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.20","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.20% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.21% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.20% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.22","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.22","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.22% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.23% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.22% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.7999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.26","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.26","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.26% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.27% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.26% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.28","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.28","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.28% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.29% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.28% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.29999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.30","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.30","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.30% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.31% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.30% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.32","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.32","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.32% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.33% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.32% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.38","event_id":"KXUST2A-26AUG14","slug":"KXUST2A-26AUG14-T4.38","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.38% on Aug 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.39% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.38% on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 14, 2026, or one week following Aug 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T20:02:55.828625Z","added_at":"2026-08-07T19:41:03.681835Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-aug-14-2026/kxust2a-26aug14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2A-26AUG14","as_of":"2026-08-10T20:15:23.128925Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 14, 2026?\" — top market at 89% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}