{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","ticker":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":230.0,"volume_24hr":230.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.539231300354004,"normalized_volume":8.401726722717285,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":229.04,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"3.95% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":75.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:54:18.326120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:54:18.326120Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.565579Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","chart_24h":[0.0,125.0,125.0,171.79999999999998,173.16,177.12,203.53,230.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T3.94","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T3.94","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.94% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"3.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.94% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":75.0,"volume_24hr":75.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":75.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.64310884475708,"normalized_volume":5.546975612640381,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T21:39:19.595891Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T21:38:35.668906Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29000000000000004],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.5399999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":77.52,"volume_24hr":77.52,"prob_24h_change":0.71,"volume_24h_change":77.52,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.7284393310546875,"normalized_volume":5.630852222442627,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:54:55.817435Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:54:18.478823Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.71]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.5299999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":8.53,"volume_24hr":8.53,"prob_24h_change":0.55,"volume_24h_change":8.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5292366743087769,"normalized_volume":1.5031853914260864,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T07:19:59.640956Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T07:19:59.640956Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":3.99,"volume_24hr":3.99,"prob_24h_change":0.44,"volume_24h_change":3.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7774327993392944,"normalized_volume":0.764188826084137,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T05:49:10.285009Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T05:49:10.285009Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":64.96,"volume_24hr":64.96,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":64.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.2799072265625,"normalized_volume":5.1899614334106445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T23:26:38.399837Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T23:25:50.129910Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.33999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.43999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.44999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL06","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL06-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 6, 2026, or one week following Jul 6, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T06:14:57.455103Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:37.685118Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-6-2026/kxust2a-26jul06","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2A-26JUL06","as_of":"2026-07-04T07:21:24.250344Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 6, 2026?\" — top market at 71% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}