{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","ticker":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":287.02,"volume_24hr":287.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.769734382629395,"normalized_volume":7.409087657928467,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":287.02,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"3.95% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":60.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:32:42.935176Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:32:42.935176Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:01.903682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","chart_24h":[0.0,180.0,188.83,235.02,237.02,287.02],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T3.94","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T3.94","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.94% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"3.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.94% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.436119556427002,"normalized_volume":4.739658355712891,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T14:58:50.086425Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T14:58:50.086425Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.436119556427002,"normalized_volume":4.739658355712891,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T14:58:50.086425Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T14:58:50.086425Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.436119556427002,"normalized_volume":4.739658355712891,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T17:52:08.982801Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T17:52:08.982801Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.972894191741943,"normalized_volume":4.335779666900635,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:33:17.470215Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:32:43.066015Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":57.02,"volume_24hr":57.02,"prob_24h_change":0.55,"volume_24h_change":57.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.304461479187012,"normalized_volume":4.6248674392700195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T17:52:08.982801Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T17:52:08.982801Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.61,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T15:52:07.893971Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T15:52:07.893971Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T15:52:07.893971Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T15:52:07.893971Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T15:52:07.893971Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T15:52:07.893971Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL08-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T14:58:50.086425Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T14:58:50.086425Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2a-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2A-26JUL08","as_of":"2026-07-08T17:53:25.090155Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}