{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","ticker":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.08,"volume_24hr":10.08,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6677556037902832,"normalized_volume":1.6408393383026123,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10.08,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"3.95% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10.08,"updated_at":"2026-07-04T05:09:57.968877Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T05:09:57.968877Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.008867Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","chart_24h":[0.0,5.04,10.08],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T3.94","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T3.94","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.94% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"3.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.94% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":10.08,"volume_24hr":10.08,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":10.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7405112981796265,"normalized_volume":1.7108608484268188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T05:10:42.363270Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T05:09:58.133682Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2A-26JUL10","slug":"KXUST2A-26JUL10-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 10, 2026, or one week following Jul 10, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:06:55.603329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:36.205112Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2a/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-10-2026/kxust2a-26jul10","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2A-26JUL10","as_of":"2026-07-04T07:23:34.359094Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 10, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}