{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","ticker":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5510.150000000001,"volume_24hr":5490.54,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.74595832824707,"normalized_volume":17.160720825195312,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2891.15,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3178.03,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.895467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.895467Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:01.903682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,2207.0,2262.02,2522.1,4949.64,5254.59,5490.54],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":3178.03,"volume_24hr":3178.03,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":3178.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.462045669555664,"normalized_volume":18.239606857299805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:53:41.127826Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:52:25.172596Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.52,0.99,0.94,0.98,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":44.79,"volume_24hr":44.79,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":44.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.601114273071289,"normalized_volume":4.101374626159668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:25:36.952731Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:24:48.212210Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T3.94","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T3.94","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.94% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"3.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.94% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1059.02,"volume_24hr":1059.02,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":1059.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.268086433410645,"normalized_volume":13.609777450561523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.52,0.99,0.99,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.08999999999999997],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":235.0,"volume_24hr":235.0,"prob_24h_change":0.91,"volume_24h_change":235.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.393056869506836,"normalized_volume":8.372851371765137,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:01:07.195246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:01:07.195246Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.5,0.56,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.26,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":175.64,"volume_24hr":175.64,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":175.64,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.423338890075684,"normalized_volume":7.508456230163574,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.32,0.29,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41000000000000003],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.19000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":371.22,"volume_24hr":371.22,"prob_24h_change":0.59,"volume_24h_change":371.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.025039672851562,"normalized_volume":9.827579498291016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:28:33.700736Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:28:33.700736Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.53,0.99,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.59]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":292.43,"volume_24hr":272.82,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":272.82,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.911069869995117,"normalized_volume":9.053698539733887,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.1,0.24,0.11,0.2,0.56,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":118.02,"volume_24hr":118.02,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":118.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.186862945556641,"normalized_volume":6.406277656555176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:02:14.269290Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:01:07.195246Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL08-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":36.0,"volume_24hr":36.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":36.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.102489948272705,"normalized_volume":3.656907320022583,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust2ad-26jul08","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2AD-26JUL08","as_of":"2026-07-08T00:48:35.933336Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}