{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","ticker":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1662.74,"volume_24hr":1662.74,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.90552520751953,"normalized_volume":12.701813697814941,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1661.74,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1555.8,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.556099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","chart_24h":[0.0,444.0,1589.8,1591.8,1649.8,1662.74],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1555.8,"volume_24hr":1555.8,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1555.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.333559036254883,"normalized_volume":15.153020858764648,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T21:12:46.975332Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T21:12:02.391417Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":32.0,"volume_24hr":32.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":32.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.053664207458496,"normalized_volume":3.4288434982299805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:51:44.575014Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:51:01.102019Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.76,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.19860416650772095,"normalized_volume":0.13475026190280914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:22:07.362487Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:22:07.362487Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":28.0,"volume_24hr":28.0,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":28.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.68705415725708,"normalized_volume":3.1801035404205322,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:48:46.145239Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:48:46.145239Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.82,0.82,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.19860416650772095,"normalized_volume":0.13475026190280914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:24.866496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:24.866496Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":13.94,"volume_24hr":13.94,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":13.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.022486448287964,"normalized_volume":2.0507166385650635,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:40.007604Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:02.073474Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.39","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":31.0,"volume_24hr":31.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":31.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.965104103088379,"normalized_volume":3.3687567710876465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T20:45:53.166322Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T20:45:12.327217Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:22:07.362487Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:22:07.362487Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL09-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:24.866496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:18:24.866496Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust2ad-26jul09","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2AD-26JUL09","as_of":"2026-07-09T00:52:15.488596Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}