{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","ticker":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4648.54,"volume_24hr":4648.54,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.154495239257812,"normalized_volume":19.29813003540039,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4504.5,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"3.95% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2120.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.289118Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.289118Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:48.913598Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","chart_24h":[0.0,50.06,51.06,165.06,200.06,210.07,210.07,253.07,253.07,4648.54],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T3.94","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T3.94","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.94% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"3.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.94% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":2120.0,"volume_24hr":2120.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":2120.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.570531845092773,"normalized_volume":16.454919815063477,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":1200.0,"volume_24hr":1200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.772180557250977,"normalized_volume":14.102063179016113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":1156.01,"volume_24hr":1156.01,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":1156.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.596118927001953,"normalized_volume":13.954030990600586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.86,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":3.01,"volume_24hr":3.01,"prob_24h_change":0.86,"volume_24h_change":3.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.643368124961853,"normalized_volume":0.5409444570541382,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:36:44.485547Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:36:44.485547Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.22999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":72.76,"volume_24hr":72.76,"prob_24h_change":0.73,"volume_24h_change":72.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.170032024383545,"normalized_volume":5.18776798248291,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.61,0.61,0.25,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.4,0.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":20.75,"volume_24hr":20.75,"prob_24h_change":0.72,"volume_24h_change":20.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.163574695587158,"normalized_volume":2.6599361896514893,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:03:23.791828Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:02:27.367253Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.72]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":21.0,"volume_24hr":21.0,"prob_24h_change":0.23,"volume_24h_change":21.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.187098741531372,"normalized_volume":2.679715394973755,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:23:51.627164Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:23:51.627164Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.540898561477661,"normalized_volume":2.9771904945373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:36:44.485547Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:36:44.485547Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.47,0.47,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL13-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":30.01,"volume_24hr":30.01,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":30.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9342732429504395,"normalized_volume":3.3079402446746826,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:16:15.277371Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.437912Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust2ad-26jul13","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2AD-26JUL13","as_of":"2026-07-11T03:35:38.339857Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}