{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","ticker":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3213.74,"volume_24hr":3213.74,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.169675827026367,"normalized_volume":17.648344039916992,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2633.22,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.05% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.552653Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.552653Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:05.308356Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","chart_24h":[25.0,27.0,88.72,242.72,319.86,2297.93,2815.93,2845.39,2990.69,3033.16,3109.16,3206.17],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.037956714630127,"normalized_volume":2.9771904945373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:53:00.254075Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":1757.0,"volume_24hr":1757.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1757.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.237314224243164,"normalized_volume":15.658297538757324,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T23:39:38.302913Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T23:38:44.062733Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":364.02,"volume_24hr":364.02,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":364.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.241303443908691,"normalized_volume":9.762829780578613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:48:18.375115Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.806056Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":363.0,"volume_24hr":363.0,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":363.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.22874641418457,"normalized_volume":9.753570556640625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:48:18.375115Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.806056Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.83,0.97,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":315.39,"volume_24hr":315.39,"prob_24h_change":0.77,"volume_24h_change":315.39,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.60731315612793,"normalized_volume":9.295387268066406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T02:16:40.559929Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:15:38.377329Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.66,0.67,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":191.5,"volume_24hr":191.5,"prob_24h_change":0.41,"volume_24h_change":191.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.52497673034668,"normalized_volume":7.760077953338623,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:48:18.375115Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.806056Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.05,0.31,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":77.83,"volume_24hr":77.83,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":77.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.255352973937988,"normalized_volume":5.3493804931640625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:19:52.225460Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:18:47.955982Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T4.39","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":120.0,"volume_24hr":120.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":120.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.74891471862793,"normalized_volume":6.45058536529541,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:34:25.337637Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:32:40.663301Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.02,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL14-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust2ad-26jul14","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2AD-26JUL14","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:59:32.175482Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}