{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","ticker":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1980.42,"volume_24hr":1980.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.28182029724121,"normalized_volume":15.596531867980957,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1523.42,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.1% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":25.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.448030Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.448030Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.238068Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","chart_24h":[0.0,100.0,193.51,468.52,671.25,683.25,758.25,849.92,1004.96,1618.29,1978.42,1978.42,1980.42],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1730101108551025,"normalized_volume":2.9771904945373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.676436Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.676436Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":268.0,"volume_24hr":268.0,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":268.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.35618782043457,"normalized_volume":8.778778076171875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T06:16:20.373951Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T06:16:20.373951Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.6,0.01,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":27.74,"volume_24hr":27.74,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":27.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.371164321899414,"normalized_volume":3.1631157398223877,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.676436Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.676436Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.8099999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":194.0,"volume_24hr":194.0,"prob_24h_change":0.68,"volume_24h_change":194.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.31110954284668,"normalized_volume":7.798196792602539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:11:12.622331Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:11:12.622331Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.6,0.77,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":59.04,"volume_24hr":59.04,"prob_24h_change":0.76,"volume_24h_change":59.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.0124921798706055,"normalized_volume":4.703150272369385,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:26:17.628061Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.76]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":0.6,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.62095832824707,"normalized_volume":4.335779666900635,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T06:16:20.373951Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T06:16:20.373951Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.39","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.4,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":773.39,"volume_24hr":773.39,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":773.39,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.226895332336426,"normalized_volume":12.410608291625977,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:26:17.628061Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.77,0.4,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.44","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":583.25,"volume_24hr":583.25,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":583.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.130180358886719,"normalized_volume":11.381576538085938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL15-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.676436Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T05:33:51.676436Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust2ad-26jul15","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2AD-26JUL15","as_of":"2026-07-15T06:17:56.290534Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?\" — top market at 40% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}