{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","ticker":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":736.13,"volume_24hr":721.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.536273956298828,"normalized_volume":11.79822063446045,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":730.31,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":25.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.069181Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.069181Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.573127Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","chart_24h":[0.0,459.0,564.8199999999999,614.8199999999999,675.0899999999999,721.64],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.190232276916504,"normalized_volume":2.9771904945373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:09:49.103503Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:09:49.103503Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.190232276916504,"normalized_volume":2.9771904945373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:09:49.103503Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:09:49.103503Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":359.0,"volume_24hr":359.0,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":359.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.412386894226074,"normalized_volume":9.717053413391113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.21000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":283.96,"volume_24hr":269.47,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":269.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.42530632019043,"normalized_volume":8.960590362548828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:44.180140Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":43.17,"volume_24hr":43.17,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":43.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.312458038330078,"normalized_volume":4.024474620819092,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST2AD-26JUL16-T4.39","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2ad/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust2ad-26jul16","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2AD-26JUL16","as_of":"2026-07-16T03:26:07.814598Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?\" — top market at 90% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}