{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","ticker":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":646.15,"volume_24hr":646.15,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.755911827087402,"normalized_volume":9.679255485534668,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":422.64,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.05% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.93,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":45.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T13:37:46.654952Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T13:37:46.654952Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:43.851671Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","chart_24h":[0.0,16.0,134.0,149.0,152.0,154.13,325.13,330.13,337.64,345.15,407.15,646.15],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.04","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":45.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":0.93,"volume_24h_change":45.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.710378170013428,"normalized_volume":4.111195087432861,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:40:42.861565Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:40:42.861565Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T3.99","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":124.0,"volume_24hr":124.0,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":124.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.491302490234375,"normalized_volume":6.538372993469238,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.09","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":16.0,"volume_24hr":16.0,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":16.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.579437017440796,"normalized_volume":2.2513203620910645,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:40:42.861565Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:40:42.861565Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.14","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":27.15,"volume_24hr":27.15,"prob_24h_change":0.47,"volume_24h_change":27.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.579490900039673,"normalized_volume":3.124162435531616,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.66,0.38,0.81,0.81,0.48,0.48,0.99,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.19","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.12000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":159.0,"volume_24hr":159.0,"prob_24h_change":0.39,"volume_24h_change":159.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.276909828186035,"normalized_volume":7.2240471839904785,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.24","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":137.0,"volume_24hr":137.0,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":137.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.80146598815918,"normalized_volume":6.80908203125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:45:11.599702Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.35,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.29","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.7784528732299805,"normalized_volume":6.78899621963501,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:15:53.840548Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:27.863885Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T4.34","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.3878423869609833,"normalized_volume":0.3385069668292999,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:46:21.269315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:45:16.608304Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T3.94","event_id":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31","slug":"KXUST2AM-26JUL31-T3.94","question":"Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.94% on Jul 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"3.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.94% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-31T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:05:19.200420Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:05:19.200420Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:44.035684Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust2am/2y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-31-2026/kxust2am-26jul31","event_title":"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST2AM-26JUL31","as_of":"2026-07-08T16:55:41.943654Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?\" — top market at 39% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}