{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","ticker":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2265.76,"volume_24hr":2253.15,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.481111526489258,"normalized_volume":13.803648948669434,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2236.7400000000002,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.8% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1057.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.895467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.895467Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:01.903682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","chart_24h":[0.0,2193.7000000000003,2232.7000000000003,2244.15,2251.15,2253.15],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.79","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.79","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.8% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1057.0,"volume_24hr":1057.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1057.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.259726524353027,"normalized_volume":13.602325439453125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T23:34:58.913360Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T23:33:51.106739Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.84","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.84","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.85% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1083.68,"volume_24hr":1083.68,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1083.68,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.369063377380371,"normalized_volume":13.699787139892578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T23:06:22.008118Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T23:06:22.008118Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.89","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.89","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.9% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":37.0,"volume_24hr":37.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":37.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.16331148147583,"normalized_volume":3.711122512817383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:45:36.717291Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:45:36.717291Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.12,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.94","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.94","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":16.0,"volume_24hr":16.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":16.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.525636672973633,"normalized_volume":2.2513203620910645,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:52:25.172596Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:52:25.172596Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.6,0.6,0.76,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.99","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T4.99","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":18.0,"volume_24hr":18.0,"prob_24h_change":0.74,"volume_24h_change":18.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.727830648422241,"normalized_volume":2.431553602218628,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.04","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.04","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":20.46,"volume_24hr":20.46,"prob_24h_change":0.41,"volume_24h_change":20.46,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.95808482170105,"normalized_volume":2.6367990970611572,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:28:33.700736Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:28:33.700736Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.41,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.09","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.09","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":29.62,"volume_24hr":17.01,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":17.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6295812129974365,"normalized_volume":3.2836036682128906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.4,0.11,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.14","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.14","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":4.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.815005898475647,"normalized_volume":0.7264858484268188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.44,0.44,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.19","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL08-T5.19","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T20:38:18.724319Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T20:38:18.724319Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust30ad-26jul08","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST30AD-26JUL08","as_of":"2026-07-08T00:45:34.360636Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}