{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","ticker":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3291.9,"volume_24hr":3291.9,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.738689422607422,"normalized_volume":15.147774696350098,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3123.13,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.85% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1138.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.556099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","chart_24h":[0.0,93.62,365.62,727.62,1565.62,3169.16,3290.16,3291.9],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.84","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.84","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.85% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1138.0,"volume_24hr":1138.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1138.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.475021362304688,"normalized_volume":13.892027854919434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:32:48.100030Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.89","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.89","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.9% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":96.0,"volume_24hr":96.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":96.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.650968551635742,"normalized_volume":5.869566917419434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:09:22.189074Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:08:20.176352Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.04","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.04","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":73.28,"volume_24hr":73.28,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":73.28,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.671087265014648,"normalized_volume":5.204730033874512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:40.007604Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:02.073474Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.09","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.09","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":65.0,"volume_24hr":65.0,"prob_24h_change":0.77,"volume_24h_change":65.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.255943775177002,"normalized_volume":4.923060894012451,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:09:22.189074Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:08:20.176352Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.99","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.99","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43000000000000005],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":13.0,"volume_24hr":13.0,"prob_24h_change":0.57,"volume_24h_change":13.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.8789563179016113,"normalized_volume":1.9533333778381348,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.57,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.14","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.14","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":41.0,"volume_24hr":41.0,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":41.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.7748308181762695,"normalized_volume":3.9181454181671143,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.19","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.19","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":107.0,"volume_24hr":107.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":107.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.06201171875,"normalized_volume":6.148453235626221,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.24","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T5.24","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1758.62,"volume_24hr":1758.62,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1758.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.083961486816406,"normalized_volume":15.662158966064453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:48.837912Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:06.249865Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.05,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.94","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL09-T4.94","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust30ad-26jul09","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST30AD-26JUL09","as_of":"2026-07-09T00:52:30.530505Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?\" — top market at 1% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}