{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","ticker":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7255.93,"volume_24hr":7255.93,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.649410247802734,"normalized_volume":21.38652992248535,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6557.849999999999,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.85% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2285.95,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.579123Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.579123Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:05.308356Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","chart_24h":[50.0,209.82999999999998,458.84,887.5,1667.05,6504.71,6781.65,6837.95,7134.43,7212.57,7216.82,7248.14],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.84","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.84","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.85% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":2310.95,"volume_24hr":2310.95,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2285.95,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.819501876831055,"normalized_volume":16.82737922668457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T23:39:38.302913Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T23:38:44.062733Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.89","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.89","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.9% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":1867.91,"volume_24hr":1867.91,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1842.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.583261489868164,"normalized_volume":15.91576099395752,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T00:37:32.837327Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T00:36:07.689519Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.94","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.94","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":284.0,"volume_24hr":284.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":284.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.152002334594727,"normalized_volume":8.96103572845459,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:34:25.337637Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:32:40.663301Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.99","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T4.99","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":243.04,"volume_24hr":243.04,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":243.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.494029998779297,"normalized_volume":8.475838661193848,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T02:16:40.559929Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:15:38.377329Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.83,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.04","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.04","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":137.13,"volume_24hr":137.13,"prob_24h_change":0.94,"volume_24h_change":137.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.237281799316406,"normalized_volume":6.811684608459473,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.734922Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.71,0.71,0.89,0.83,0.94,0.93]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.09","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.09","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":394.86,"volume_24hr":394.86,"prob_24h_change":0.69,"volume_24h_change":394.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.60582160949707,"normalized_volume":10.033100128173828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:11:30.265147Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:10:27.764877Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.32,0.83,0.64,0.58,0.94,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.14","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.14","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":195.78,"volume_24hr":195.78,"prob_24h_change":0.33,"volume_24h_change":195.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.611562728881836,"normalized_volume":7.825096607208252,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.734922Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.59,0.31,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.19","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.19","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":258.25,"volume_24hr":258.25,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":258.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.748247146606445,"normalized_volume":8.663301467895508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.734922Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.24","event_id":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST30AD-26JUL14-T5.24","question":"Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":1564.01,"volume_24hr":1564.01,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1564.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.578332901000977,"normalized_volume":15.174715042114258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:34:25.337637Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:32:40.663301Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust30ad/30y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust30ad-26jul14","event_title":"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST30AD-26JUL14","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:16:28.457246Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}