{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","ticker":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4036.88,"volume_24hr":3289.29,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.166072845458984,"normalized_volume":15.167587280273438,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3572.29,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1079.69,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.895467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.895467Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:01.903682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","chart_24h":[0.0,2182.6800000000003,2242.1,2764.6,2864.31,3155.43,3155.43],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T3.99","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T3.99","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1742.69,"volume_24hr":1079.69,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1079.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.351715087890625,"normalized_volume":13.685342788696289,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.04","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1064.01,"volume_24hr":1056.01,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1056.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.254487037658691,"normalized_volume":13.598668098449707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.09","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":49.43,"volume_24hr":49.43,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":49.43,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.835951805114746,"normalized_volume":4.3110270500183105,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.82,0.98,0.96,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.14","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":89.0,"volume_24hr":89.0,"prob_24h_change":0.96,"volume_24h_change":89.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.37042236328125,"normalized_volume":5.67893648147583,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T23:33:51.106739Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T23:33:51.106739Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.71,0.84,0.84,0.97,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.19","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":462.01,"volume_24hr":391.01,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":344.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.743281364440918,"normalized_volume":10.000337600708008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:42:07.978122Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.54,0.81,0.95,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.24","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":405.7,"volume_24hr":402.98,"prob_24h_change":0.72,"volume_24h_change":402.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.331308364868164,"normalized_volume":10.101336479187012,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:42:07.978122Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.88,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.29","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":175.23,"volume_24hr":172.36,"prob_24h_change":0.55,"volume_24h_change":172.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.361798286437988,"normalized_volume":7.454155921936035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:41:33.986225Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.47,0.35,0.82,0.82,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.34","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":20.8,"volume_24hr":20.8,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":20.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9882700443267822,"normalized_volume":2.6639041900634766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:52:25.172596Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:52:25.172596Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.15,0.06,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL08-T4.39","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":28.01,"volume_24hr":28.01,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":28.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.568053960800171,"normalized_volume":3.1807548999786377,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T23:33:51.106739Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T23:33:51.106739Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust5ad-26jul08","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST5AD-26JUL08","as_of":"2026-07-08T00:42:19.221080Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}