{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","ticker":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1523.4,"volume_24hr":1523.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.438798904418945,"normalized_volume":12.403992652893066,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1517.4,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.05% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1194.4,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:01.899106Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.556099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","chart_24h":[0.0,15.0,1217.4,1219.4,1504.4,1523.4],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.04","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1194.4,"volume_24hr":1194.4,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1194.4,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.75719451904297,"normalized_volume":14.083478927612305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T21:12:46.975332Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T21:12:02.391417Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.19","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":22.0,"volume_24hr":22.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":22.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.063960075378418,"normalized_volume":2.757342576980591,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:40.007604Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:36:02.073474Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.09","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":11.0,"volume_24hr":11.0,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":11.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5524520874023438,"normalized_volume":1.7318044900894165,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T20:58:35.479432Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T20:58:35.479432Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.14","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.19860416650772095,"normalized_volume":0.13475026190280914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:31:55.554638Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.29","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":286.0,"volume_24hr":286.0,"prob_24h_change":0.44,"volume_24h_change":286.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.240086555480957,"normalized_volume":8.983222007751465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:48:46.145239Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:48:46.145239Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.47,0.19,0.19,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.34","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":3.0,"volume_24hr":3.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7944166660308838,"normalized_volume":0.5390010476112366,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:51:44.575014Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:51:01.102019Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.24","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.19860416650772095,"normalized_volume":0.13475026190280914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:06.249865Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:06.249865Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.44","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.327079176902771,"normalized_volume":0.9004054665565491,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.89,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL09-T4.39","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:08:20.176352Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:08:20.176352Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust5ad-26jul09","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST5AD-26JUL09","as_of":"2026-07-09T00:52:31.050206Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}