{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","ticker":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3352.02,"volume_24hr":3352.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.472394943237305,"normalized_volume":17.832901000976562,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3320.01,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.05% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2100.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.289118Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.289118Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:48.913598Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","chart_24h":[0.0,50.0,70.01,80.01,100.02,100.02,3352.02],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.04","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.04","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.04% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.04% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":2100.0,"volume_24hr":2100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":2100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.52214813232422,"normalized_volume":16.41423797607422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.09","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":1200.0,"volume_24hr":1200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.772180557250977,"normalized_volume":14.102063179016113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.14","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":8.0,"volume_24hr":8.0,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6104027032852173,"normalized_volume":1.3540278673171997,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.87,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.19","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":19.0,"volume_24hr":19.0,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":19.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9935848712921143,"normalized_volume":2.5170087814331055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:02:27.367253Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:02:27.367253Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.57,0.57,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.39","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":19.0,"volume_24hr":19.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":19.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9935848712921143,"normalized_volume":2.5170087814331055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.46,0.46,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.44","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":6.02,"volume_24hr":6.02,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":6.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2667874097824097,"normalized_volume":1.0651159286499023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:16:15.277371Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.437912Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.24","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.29","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL13-T4.34","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T01:19:07.017489Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust5ad-26jul13","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST5AD-26JUL13","as_of":"2026-07-11T03:36:03.053749Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}