{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","ticker":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2023.44,"volume_24hr":2023.44,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.81448745727539,"normalized_volume":15.684913635253906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1496.71,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.2% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":707.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.552653Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.552653Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:05.308356Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","chart_24h":[0.0,4.0,39.0,504.03999999999996,662.17,1111.44,1474.44,1522.54,1922.54,1940.54,1983.54,2001.15,2017.43],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.19","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":707.0,"volume_24hr":707.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":707.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.381927490234375,"normalized_volume":12.078414916992188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:34:25.337637Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:32:40.663301Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.24","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":216.45,"volume_24hr":216.45,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":216.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.018339157104492,"normalized_volume":8.123834609985352,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:48:18.375115Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.806056Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.29","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":245.38,"volume_24hr":245.38,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":245.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.535706520080566,"normalized_volume":8.505290985107422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:52.734922Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.74,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.85,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.34","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":584.84,"volume_24hr":584.84,"prob_24h_change":0.74,"volume_24h_change":584.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.449981689453125,"normalized_volume":11.391290664672852,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:19:52.332481Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:19:07.139396Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.23,0.52,0.3,0.55,0.55,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.39","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":186.77,"volume_24hr":186.77,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":186.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.425653457641602,"normalized_volume":7.686846733093262,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:48:18.375115Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.806056Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.44","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.45911625027656555,"normalized_volume":0.3385069668292999,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T21:19:50.726469Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T21:19:50.726469Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.49","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":81.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":81.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.386939525604248,"normalized_volume":5.446399211883545,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T00:50:25.945740Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T00:50:25.945740Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.09","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL14-T4.14","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust5ad-26jul14","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST5AD-26JUL14","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:59:37.031248Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}