{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","ticker":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1206.27,"volume_24hr":1206.27,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.217473030090332,"normalized_volume":13.62719440460205,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1206.27,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.15% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":44.2,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T04:37:05.778126Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T04:37:05.778126Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.238068Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","chart_24h":[0.0,225.0,412.0,598.8,644.8,645.3,689.49,844.59,1104.27,1204.27,1206.27],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.14","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":44.2,"volume_24hr":44.2,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":44.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.3378190994262695,"normalized_volume":4.073603630065918,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T01:02:18.922833Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T01:01:04.712384Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.19","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.18999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1702921390533447,"normalized_volume":2.9771904945373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T01:34:34.256117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T01:31:45.224472Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.44","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":125.0,"volume_24hr":125.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":125.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.9854536056518555,"normalized_volume":6.559971332550049,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.29","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.17999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.36117696762085,"normalized_volume":5.973719120025635,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:39:10.476965Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:39:10.476965Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.34","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.62,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.36,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.36046266555786133,"normalized_volume":0.3385069668292999,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T04:51:57.871257Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T04:51:57.871257Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.36]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.39","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":100.49,"volume_24hr":100.49,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":100.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.374525547027588,"normalized_volume":5.986254692077637,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T01:02:18.922833Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T01:01:04.712384Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.49","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":352.97,"volume_24hr":352.97,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":352.97,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.28800106048584,"normalized_volume":9.661361694335938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.54","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":456.61,"volume_24hr":456.61,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":456.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.207992553710938,"normalized_volume":10.52531623840332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL15-T4.24","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.18999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:39:10.476965Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:39:10.476965Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust5ad-26jul15","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST5AD-26JUL15","as_of":"2026-07-15T05:04:00.043388Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?\" — top market at 2% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}