{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","ticker":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":266.2,"volume_24hr":166.2,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.581150054931641,"normalized_volume":8.450401306152344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":266.2,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.1% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.069181Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.069181Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.573127Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","chart_24h":[0.0,100.0,105.73,136.67000000000002,137.67000000000002,166.2],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.09","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.09","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.09% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.1% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.09% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.144392728805542,"normalized_volume":0.13475026190280914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:47:23.040873Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.24","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":33.44,"volume_24hr":33.44,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":33.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.764516592025757,"normalized_volume":3.5131242275238037,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.63,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.29","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":131.76,"volume_24hr":131.76,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":131.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.182130336761475,"normalized_volume":6.702511787414551,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.39","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.973719120025635,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:44.180140Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.14","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.19","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.34","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:14:06.281614Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.44","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T21:15:59.107630Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:15:59.107630Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL16-T4.49","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T23:44:35.449393Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T23:44:35.449393Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust5ad-26jul16","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST5AD-26JUL16","as_of":"2026-07-16T03:26:44.701966Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?\" — top market at 29% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}