{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","ticker":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18460.17,"volume_24hr":18454.17,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.7607421875,"normalized_volume":21.563138961791992,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":13646.26,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.16% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3669.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:35:27.562501Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:35:27.562501Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.828456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","chart_24h":[263.0,572.9300000000001,579.9300000000001,696.98,818.98,1362.2,7683.62,9674.68,11677.21,11684.72,13943.72,15850.19,16378.21,16529.29,16629.2,16868.61,16875.0,17007.35,17035.35,17140.35,17215.35,17554.35,17632.07,17643.86,17700.86,17702.46,17797.17],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.15","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.15","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.15% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.16% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.15% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":3669.0,"volume_24hr":3669.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":3669.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.803226470947266,"normalized_volume":17.532926559448242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T23:47:27.907034Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T23:46:37.530420Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.98,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.17","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.17","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.17% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.18% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.17% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":7041.0,"volume_24hr":7041.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":7041.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.393585205078125,"normalized_volume":20.427640914916992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:03:12.584161Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:02:24.565305Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.19","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":645.0,"volume_24hr":645.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":545.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.279930114746094,"normalized_volume":10.896856307983398,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T23:34:24.624465Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T23:33:29.071452Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.21","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.21","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.21% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.22% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.21% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1172.0,"volume_24hr":1172.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":1172.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.612733840942383,"normalized_volume":12.998547554016113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T00:44:42.094693Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T00:43:22.829624Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.96,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.23","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.23","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.23% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.24% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.23% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":38.0,"volume_24hr":38.0,"prob_24h_change":0.95,"volume_24h_change":38.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.539022445678711,"normalized_volume":3.4929497241973877,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T23:34:24.624465Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T23:33:29.071452Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.25","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.25","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.25% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.26% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.25% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":56.0,"volume_24hr":56.0,"prob_24h_change":0.93,"volume_24h_change":56.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.745973110198975,"normalized_volume":4.254062175750732,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T22:54:35.061915Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T22:53:38.753734Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.27","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.27","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.27% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.28% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.27% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":148.0,"volume_24hr":148.0,"prob_24h_change":0.93,"volume_24h_change":148.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.333593368530273,"normalized_volume":6.516443252563477,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:43:22.915262Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:42:16.047475Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.29","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":691.49,"volume_24hr":691.49,"prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"volume_24h_change":689.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.653085708618164,"normalized_volume":11.132170677185059,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:36:06.730944Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:35:27.972218Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.79,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.31","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.31","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.31% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.32% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.31% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1173.29,"volume_24hr":1173.29,"prob_24h_change":-0.18999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":1170.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.6191463470459,"normalized_volume":13.002591133117676,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:36:06.730944Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:35:27.972218Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.73,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.52]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.33","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.33","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.33% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.34% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.33% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":1178.11,"volume_24hr":1172.11,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":1172.11,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.61328125,"normalized_volume":13.01766586303711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:36:06.730944Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:35:27.972218Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.35","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.35","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.35% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.36% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.35% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":527.3,"volume_24hr":527.3,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":527.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.222383499145508,"normalized_volume":10.229959487915039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T10:04:05.936522Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T10:03:10.030445Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.16,0.16,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.37","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.37","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.37% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.38% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.37% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":522.27,"volume_24hr":522.27,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":522.27,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.172914505004883,"normalized_volume":10.198763847351074,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T06:07:53.749516Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T06:06:59.670483Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.39","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":645.71,"volume_24hr":645.71,"prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":495.71000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.285797119140625,"normalized_volume":10.900556564331055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:22:44.090755Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:21:24.876645Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.41","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.41","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.41% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.42% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.41% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":937.0,"volume_24hr":937.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":929.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.329221725463867,"normalized_volume":12.189155578613281,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:03:12.584161Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:02:24.565305Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.43","event_id":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21","slug":"KXUST5AD-26JUL21-T4.43","question":"Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.43% on Jul 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.44% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.43% on Jul 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 21, 2026, or one week following Jul 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-21T19:30:00Z","volume":16.0,"volume_24hr":16.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":16.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.3127195835113525,"normalized_volume":2.0890262126922607,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T20:41:20.650057Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T20:40:38.741248Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:34:54.931142Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust5ad/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-21-2026/kxust5ad-26jul21","event_title":"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST5AD-26JUL21","as_of":"2026-07-21T13:45:49.818634Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}