{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","ticker":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4794.26,"volume_24hr":4794.26,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.065040588378906,"normalized_volume":16.611209869384766,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2751.25,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.15% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1054.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:51.141367Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:51.141367Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:01.903682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","chart_24h":[0.0,4190.44,4206.43,4741.849999999999,4752.849999999999,4794.26],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.14","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.14","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.14% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":1054.0,"volume_24hr":1054.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1054.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.246148109436035,"normalized_volume":13.591235160827637,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.19","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":3088.43,"volume_24hr":3088.43,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":3088.43,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.315704345703125,"normalized_volume":18.110509872436523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:58:41.728116Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.24","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":290.42,"volume_24hr":290.42,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":290.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.131546974182129,"normalized_volume":9.031805038452148,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.87,0.98,0.94,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.34","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1913119554519653,"normalized_volume":1.0619994401931763,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.33,0.59,0.59,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.29","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":274.0,"volume_24hr":274.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":274.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.925522804260254,"normalized_volume":8.848143577575684,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T23:06:22.008118Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T23:06:22.008118Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.6,0.6,0.83,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.39","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":46.41,"volume_24hr":46.41,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":46.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.684809684753418,"normalized_volume":4.176290988922119,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:15:53.840548Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:51.313304Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.44","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.32,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8090075254440308,"normalized_volume":1.6126463413238525,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T22:39:40.685423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T22:38:03.666513Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.5,0.16,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.49","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":11.0,"volume_24hr":11.0,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":11.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.9426747560501099,"normalized_volume":1.7318044900894165,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:01:07.195246Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:01:07.195246Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.43,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL08-T4.54","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-10T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","volume":14.0,"volume_24hr":14.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":14.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3072431087493896,"normalized_volume":2.056800365447998,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:45:36.717291Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:45:36.717291Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T19:32:02.267660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-8-2026/kxust7ad-26jul08","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26JUL08","as_of":"2026-07-08T00:37:13.250472Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}