{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","ticker":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":227.0,"volume_24hr":227.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.581035614013672,"normalized_volume":6.805246829986572,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":199.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.2% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.94,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":11.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:08:19.860490Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:08:19.860490Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.556099Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","chart_24h":[0.0,51.0,52.0,57.0,61.0,227.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.19","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":11.0,"volume_24hr":11.0,"prob_24h_change":0.94,"volume_24h_change":11.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5539422035217285,"normalized_volume":1.7318044900894165,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T21:12:46.975332Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T21:12:02.391417Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.62,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.24","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":14.0,"volume_24hr":14.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":14.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.0332229137420654,"normalized_volume":2.056800365447998,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:06.249865Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:12:06.249865Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.29","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":27.0,"volume_24hr":27.0,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":27.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.59255313873291,"normalized_volume":3.1141679286956787,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T00:22:07.362487Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T00:22:07.362487Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.39","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":115.0,"volume_24hr":115.0,"prob_24h_change":0.62,"volume_24h_change":115.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.346185684204102,"normalized_volume":6.33756160736084,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T01:15:31.546005Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T01:15:31.546005Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.44","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":52.0,"volume_24hr":52.0,"prob_24h_change":0.41,"volume_24h_change":52.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.519822597503662,"normalized_volume":4.421031475067139,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T01:15:31.546005Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T01:15:31.546005Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.41,0.41,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.49","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":3.0,"volume_24hr":3.0,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7948804497718811,"normalized_volume":0.5390010476112366,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.59","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.499206006526947,"normalized_volume":0.3385069668292999,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:46:00.821562Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.54","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":3.0,"volume_24hr":3.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7948804497718811,"normalized_volume":0.5390010476112366,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T22:46:00.821562Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T22:45:17.138860Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.18,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL09-T4.34","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-09T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T01:29:05.435562Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T01:29:05.435562Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T19:38:14.769449Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026/kxust7ad-26jul09","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26JUL09","as_of":"2026-07-09T01:40:50.847639Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026?\" — top market at 62% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}