{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","ticker":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2589.56,"volume_24hr":2589.56,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.19179916381836,"normalized_volume":16.7174129486084,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1851.56,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.2% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1450.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.289118Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.289118Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:48.913598Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","chart_24h":[0.0,443.01,443.01,489.01,498.01,510.01,722.01,811.5600000000001,813.5600000000001,2589.56],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.19","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":1450.0,"volume_24hr":1450.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1450.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.678659439086914,"normalized_volume":14.86423110961914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T02:50:23.912315Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T02:49:33.190328Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.24","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":489.0,"volume_24hr":489.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":489.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.799259185791016,"normalized_volume":10.761628150939941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:02:27.367253Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:02:27.367253Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.29","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":432.55,"volume_24hr":432.55,"prob_24h_change":0.94,"volume_24h_change":432.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.298442840576172,"normalized_volume":10.340540885925293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.34","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9335341453552246,"normalized_volume":3.307318925857544,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.59","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":140.0,"volume_24hr":140.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":140.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.169178009033203,"normalized_volume":6.868651390075684,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:16:15.277371Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.437912Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.39","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.8099999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.1945383548736572,"normalized_volume":1.8451696634292603,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.44","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.8099999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.1945383548736572,"normalized_volume":1.8451696634292603,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.49","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":12.01,"volume_24hr":12.01,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":12.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.195854425430298,"normalized_volume":1.8462761640548706,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:28:32.040656Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL13-T4.54","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 13, 2026, or one week following Jul 13, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-10T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.1945383548736572,"normalized_volume":1.8451696634292603,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.437912Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:15:22.437912Z","added_at":"2026-07-10T19:30:49.149456Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-13-2026/kxust7ad-26jul13","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26JUL13","as_of":"2026-07-11T03:31:55.308520Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 13, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}