{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","ticker":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3167.44,"volume_24hr":3167.44,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.093685150146484,"normalized_volume":17.584993362426758,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2683.85,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.3% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1725.01,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.552653Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.552653Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:05.308356Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","chart_24h":[0.0,16.04,272.04,314.04,613.0,767.21,2728.15,2789.2,3012.42,3090.38,3139.38,3153.38,3167.43],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.29","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":1725.01,"volume_24hr":1725.01,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1725.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.13304901123047,"normalized_volume":15.581422805786133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T23:54:16.898023Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T23:53:16.695602Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.62,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.34","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":567.03,"volume_24hr":567.03,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":567.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.300658226013184,"normalized_volume":11.281193733215332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:48:18.375115Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:46:53.806056Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.66,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.39","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":177.0,"volume_24hr":177.0,"prob_24h_change":0.87,"volume_24h_change":177.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.213916778564453,"normalized_volume":7.530733108520508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:34:25.337637Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T01:32:40.663301Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.44","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":200.49,"volume_24hr":200.49,"prob_24h_change":0.82,"volume_24h_change":200.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.708426475524902,"normalized_volume":7.895335674285889,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:19:52.332481Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:19:07.139396Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.49","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43000000000000005],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":305.69,"volume_24hr":305.69,"prob_24h_change":0.57,"volume_24h_change":305.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.471302032470703,"normalized_volume":9.195106506347656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:19:07.139396Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:19:07.139396Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.08,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.53,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.54","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":35.38,"volume_24hr":35.38,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":35.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.913540363311768,"normalized_volume":3.6227593421936035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T23:25:39.088619Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T23:24:31.445028Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.59","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":156.84,"volume_24hr":156.84,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":156.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.745549201965332,"normalized_volume":7.1854047775268555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T23:54:16.898023Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T23:53:16.695602Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.19","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.19","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.2% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL14-T4.24","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 14, 2026, or one week following Jul 14, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T20:22:26.348072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:38:06.746081Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-14-2026/kxust7ad-26jul14","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26JUL14","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:59:39.165427Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 14, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}