{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","ticker":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1321.6299999999999,"volume_24hr":1321.6299999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.594216346740723,"normalized_volume":13.979957580566406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1321.6299999999999,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.3% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":25.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T04:37:05.778126Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T04:37:05.778126Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.238068Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,93.0,560.59,720.68,1188.58,1282.09,1292.6299999999999,1317.6299999999999,1321.6299999999999],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.29","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1730101108551025,"normalized_volume":2.9771904945373535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:26:17.628061Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.44","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":4.0,"prob_24h_change":0.51,"volume_24h_change":4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7742692232131958,"normalized_volume":0.7264858484268188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T04:38:01.289009Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T04:37:05.950955Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.64","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":1105.61,"volume_24hr":1105.61,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":1105.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.684618949890137,"normalized_volume":13.778369903564453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.69","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.69","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.7% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":187.02,"volume_24hr":187.02,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":187.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.196600914001465,"normalized_volume":7.690754413604736,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.34","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T05:48:04.569407Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T05:48:04.569407Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.39","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T05:48:04.569407Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T05:48:04.569407Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.49","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T01:47:58.832467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T01:47:58.832467Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.54","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T01:47:58.832467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T01:47:58.832467Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL15-T4.59","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 15, 2026, or one week following Jul 15, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T03:25:17.364947Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T19:32:36.741392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-15-2026/kxust7ad-26jul15","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26JUL15","as_of":"2026-07-15T06:14:29.413084Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 15, 2026?\" — top market at 4% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}