{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","ticker":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":419.94,"volume_24hr":419.94,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.57502269744873,"normalized_volume":9.880908012390137,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":407.67999999999995,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.25% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":101.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.700946Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.700946Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.573127Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","chart_24h":[0.0,15.0,15.0,107.0,107.58,150.68,387.03000000000003,419.94],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.24","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.24","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.25% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":101.0,"volume_24hr":101.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":101.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.436941623687744,"normalized_volume":5.999251842498779,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T03:29:35.380173Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T03:27:51.436151Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.34","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.34","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.35% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":11.1,"volume_24hr":11.1,"prob_24h_change":0.87,"volume_24h_change":11.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.870584487915039,"normalized_volume":1.7433912754058838,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.39","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.39","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.4% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":32.91,"volume_24hr":32.91,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":32.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7364699840545654,"normalized_volume":3.482403039932251,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:24:27.959138Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.44","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.44","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.45% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":259.93,"volume_24hr":259.93,"prob_24h_change":0.3,"volume_24h_change":259.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.316972732543945,"normalized_volume":8.683450698852539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.29","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.29","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.29% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.3% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":15.0,"volume_24hr":15.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":15.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.313300848007202,"normalized_volume":2.1560041904449463,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.49","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.49","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.5% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.54","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.54","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.55% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T04:23:37.884310Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.59","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.59","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.6% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.64","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16","slug":"KXUST7AD-26JUL16-T4.64","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Jul 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.65% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 16, 2026, or one week following Jul 16, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T19:30:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:37.846553Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:17.724635Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-16-2026/kxust7ad-26jul16","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26JUL16","as_of":"2026-07-16T04:35:21.613629Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 16, 2026?\" — top market at 30% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}