{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26OCT21","as_of":"2026-10-21T03:39:10.867574Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?\" — 15 markets; highest \"4.91% or above\" at 99% as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUST7AD-26OCT21","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","ticker":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 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above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T23:49:08.178195Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T23:49:08.178195Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.695571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","chart_24h":[0.0,161.0,261.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":15,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.90","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.90","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.91% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.17336682975292206,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T00:39:40.459155Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T00:39:40.459155Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.02","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.02","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.03% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.12000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.51,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.685659885406494,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.19999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.685659885406494,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.10","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.10","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.11% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.097943305969238,"normalized_volume":5.2607502937316895,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T02:20:33.379005Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T02:20:33.379005Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.92","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.92","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.93% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T02:48:46.209863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T02:48:46.209863Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.94","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.94","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.95% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.96","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.96","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.97% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.98","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T4.98","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.99% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T02:48:46.209863Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T02:48:46.209863Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.00","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.00","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.01% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.04","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.04","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.05% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:17:16.257554Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.08","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.08","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.09% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:31:11.129059Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:31:11.129059Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.12","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.12","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.13% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:02:18.849537Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:02:18.849537Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.14","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.14","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.15% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T03:02:18.849537Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T03:02:18.849537Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.16","event_id":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21","slug":"KXUST7AD-26OCT21-T5.16","question":"Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.17% or above","description":"If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United 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2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T05:05:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-21T19:30:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T01:08:08.797843Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T01:08:08.797843Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T19:36:24.832963Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxust7ad/7y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-21-2026/kxust7ad-26oct21","event_title":"7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}