{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","ticker":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2425.46,"volume_24hr":1725.31,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.88159942626953,"normalized_volume":16.48125457763672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2325.36,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"UAE","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15999999999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:02:25.378761Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:02:25.378761Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.351669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","chart_24h":[834.21,238.21,138.22,238.22,238.24,238.22,238.15,239.14,239.14,239.15,241.13,241.18,1725.32,1725.31],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-UAE","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-UAE","question":"Will the UAE's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"UAE","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for United Arab Emirates for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for United Arab Emirates for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":1.01,"volume_24hr":1.01,"prob_24h_change":0.15999999999999992,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.16852359473705292,"normalized_volume":0.15172524750232697,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United Arab Emirates"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T06:20:30.486079Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T06:20:30.486079Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.82]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-UK","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-UK","question":"Will the United Kingdom's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"United Kingdom","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for United Kingdom for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for United Kingdom for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":400.06,"volume_24hr":0.03,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":-400.01000000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0003021035809069872,"normalized_volume":11.184819221496582,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T09:48:04.131520Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T09:48:04.131520Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-FRA","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-FRA","question":"Will France's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"France","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for France for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for France for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":0.05,"volume_24hr":0.03,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0003021035809069872,"normalized_volume":0.0007410438847728074,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T09:48:04.131520Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T09:48:04.131520Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-KOR","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-KOR","question":"Will South Korea's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"South Korea","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Korea, South for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Korea, South for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":0.01,"volume_24hr":0.01,"prob_24h_change":0.51,"volume_24h_change":0.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.00003423396992729977,"normalized_volume":0.00003082154580624774,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["South Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:17:16.669537Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:17:16.669537Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-BRA","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-BRA","question":"Will Brazil's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"Brazil","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Brazil for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Brazil for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":5.02,"volume_24hr":5.01,"prob_24h_change":-0.24999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.112112045288086,"normalized_volume":1.0031144618988037,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:02:25.492488Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:02:25.492488Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-CAN","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-CAN","question":"Will Canada's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"Canada","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Canada for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Canada for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":22.01,"volume_24hr":22.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-0.010000000000001563,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.39933705329895,"normalized_volume":3.0613417625427246,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T06:05:30.640662Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T06:05:30.640662Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-NOR","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-NOR","question":"Will Norway's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"Norway","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Norway for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Norway for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":298.0,"volume_24hr":198.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.688042640686035,"normalized_volume":10.115716934204102,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Norway"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:23:11.322178Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:23:11.322178Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-SAU","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-SAU","question":"Will Saudi Arabia's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"Saudi Arabia","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Saudi Arabia for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Saudi Arabia for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":0.06,"volume_24hr":0.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.44999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":-0.030000000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.0001355900603812188,"normalized_volume":0.0010569468140602112,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T09:48:04.131520Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T09:48:04.131520Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-TWN","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-TWN","question":"Will Taiwan's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"Taiwan","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Taiwan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Taiwan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":15.0,"volume_24hr":15.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6579887866973877,"normalized_volume":2.3930418491363525,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T08:04:15.554331Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T08:04:15.554331Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-JPN","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-JPN","question":"Will Japan's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"Japan","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.13999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":828.48,"volume_24hr":828.47,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":828.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.617894172668457,"normalized_volume":14.061161994934082,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:18:21.746208Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T10:18:21.746208Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-CHN","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-CHN","question":"Will Mainland China's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"Mainland China","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for China, Mainland for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for China, Mainland for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":655.74,"volume_24hr":655.73,"prob_24h_change":-0.12000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":655.71,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.551460266113281,"normalized_volume":13.10103988647461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:18:21.746208Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T10:18:21.746208Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-IND","event_id":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","slug":"KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26-IND","question":"Will India's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?","group_item_title":"India","description":"If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for India for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for India for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.\n\nValues will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-13T23:00:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-25T20:55:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-18T20:55:00Z","volume":200.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-200.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.755660057067871,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T08:04:15.554331Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T08:04:15.554331Z","added_at":"2026-09-13T23:04:52.449819Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxustholders/which-countries-us-treasury-holdings-will-increase-in-2026/kxustholders-31dec26","event_title":"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUSTHOLDERS-31DEC26","as_of":"2026-09-15T12:54:47.042474Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?\" — top market at 25% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}