{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01","ticker":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01","slug":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01","title":"Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T18:28:17Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3017.12,"volume_24hr":3017.12,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.586811065673828,"normalized_volume":17.600921630859375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2501.99,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.84,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":677.47,"updated_at":"2026-08-29T02:35:25.160389Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T02:35:25.160389Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T18:47:34.551714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusvenezoil/will-the-us-announce-a-venezuelan-oil-field-deal/kxusvenezoil-27jan01","chart_24h":[0.0,600.0,632.8199999999999,632.8199999999999,863.8199999999999,2639.41,2753.44,3017.12],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01-27JAN01","event_id":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01","slug":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01-27JAN01","question":"Will the US agree to or announce a new deal granting the U.S. government ownership or lease rights to Venezuelan oil fields before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the US agrees to or announces a new deal granting the U.S. government ownership or lease rights to Venezuelan oil fields after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe deal must grant the U.S. federal government an ownership interest in, or a lease of, one or more Venezuelan oil fields, directly or through an entity holding the interest on its behalf. Equity in an entity owning the fields also qualifies. No minimum ownership percentage or lease term is required.\n\nA new deal is an agreement first reached after Issuance. Reannouncements, implementation, or continuation of arrangements agreed before Issuance do NOT qualify. Oil purchases or supply commitments, custody or control of oil-sale proceeds, sanctions permissions, and private-company deals without an ownership or lease interest for the U.S. government do NOT qualify.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. Announcements with specified future implementation dates qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nThink-tank recommendations without government adoption\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T18:28:17Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":677.47,"volume_24hr":677.47,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":677.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.042722702026367,"normalized_volume":13.232847213745117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T02:39:27.697440Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T02:35:25.448427Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T18:47:34.768095Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusvenezoil/will-the-us-announce-a-venezuelan-oil-field-deal/kxusvenezoil-27jan01","event_title":"Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01-26OCT01","event_id":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01","slug":"KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01-26OCT01","question":"Will the US agree to or announce a new deal granting the U.S. government ownership or lease rights to Venezuelan oil fields before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If the US agrees to or announces a new deal granting the U.S. government ownership or lease rights to Venezuelan oil fields after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe deal must grant the U.S. federal government an ownership interest in, or a lease of, one or more Venezuelan oil fields, directly or through an entity holding the interest on its behalf. Equity in an entity owning the fields also qualifies. No minimum ownership percentage or lease term is required.\n\nA new deal is an agreement first reached after Issuance. Reannouncements, implementation, or continuation of arrangements agreed before Issuance do NOT qualify. Oil purchases or supply commitments, custody or control of oil-sale proceeds, sanctions permissions, and private-company deals without an ownership or lease interest for the U.S. government do NOT qualify.\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. Announcements with specified future implementation dates qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources\nThink-tank recommendations without government adoption\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T18:28:17Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2339.65,"volume_24hr":2339.65,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":2339.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.131549835205078,"normalized_volume":18.736976623535156,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T02:54:15.925407Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T02:54:15.925407Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T18:47:34.768095Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusvenezoil/will-the-us-announce-a-venezuelan-oil-field-deal/kxusvenezoil-27jan01","event_title":"Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.66]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXUSVENEZOIL-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-08-29T03:10:44.860982Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal?\" — top market at 66% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}