{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","ticker":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5711.18,"volume_24hr":5588.98,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.045305252075195,"normalized_volume":19.428903579711914,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4908.19,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Invested / Investment","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.82,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":244.62,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:12.965290Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:12.965290Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.322042Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","chart_24h":[3.45,537.78,591.67,931.15,940.05,1035.64,2103.97,2952.55,4382.41,4519.41,4775.65,5273.44],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-INVE","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-INVE","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Invested / Investment","description":"If \n JD Vance says Invested / Investment as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.17000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":244.62,"volume_24hr":244.62,"prob_24h_change":0.82,"volume_24h_change":244.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.021096229553223,"normalized_volume":9.828760147094727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.82,0.82]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-IRAN","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-IRAN","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Iran / Iranian","description":"If \n JD Vance says Iran / Iranian as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.20999999999999996],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":267.78,"volume_24hr":267.78,"prob_24h_change":0.19000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":264.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.384923934936523,"normalized_volume":10.153226852416992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.64,0.64,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-250","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-250","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"250","description":"If \n JD Vance says 250 as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.16000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":3.79,"volume_24hr":3.79,"prob_24h_change":0.77,"volume_24h_change":3.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.8928519487380981,"normalized_volume":0.7962572574615479,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-MARI","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-MARI","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Marine","description":"If \n JD Vance says Marine as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":576.53,"volume_24hr":576.53,"prob_24h_change":0.77,"volume_24h_change":576.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.711153030395508,"normalized_volume":13.11960220336914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.41,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.77]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-SPAC","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-SPAC","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Space Force","description":"If \n JD Vance says Space Force as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":877.74,"volume_24hr":870.65,"prob_24h_change":0.69,"volume_24h_change":870.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.67742156982422,"normalized_volume":14.908760070800781,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:39.905317Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-DEPA","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-DEPA","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Department of War","description":"If \n JD Vance says Department of War as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":48.91,"volume_24hr":41.72,"prob_24h_change":0.09000000000000008,"volume_24h_change":41.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.129141330718994,"normalized_volume":4.9611053466796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:39.905317Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-HEGS","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-HEGS","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Hegseth","description":"If \n JD Vance says Hegseth as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.17000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":27.58,"volume_24hr":27.58,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":27.58,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.089715003967285,"normalized_volume":3.6472620964050293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.72,0.72,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-TRUM","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-TRUM","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Trump (5+ times)","description":"If \n JD Vance says Trump (5+ times) as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":467.86,"volume_24hr":458.77,"prob_24h_change":0.31,"volume_24h_change":458.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.674946784973145,"normalized_volume":12.273514747619629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:39.905317Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-DRON","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-DRON","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Drone","description":"If \n JD Vance says Drone as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":198.22,"volume_24hr":198.22,"prob_24h_change":0.62,"volume_24h_change":198.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.198513984680176,"normalized_volume":9.095170021057129,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:26:25.228500Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:26:25.228500Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-CHIN","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-CHIN","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"China / Chinese","description":"If \n JD Vance says China / Chinese as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":504.12,"volume_24hr":504.12,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":504.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.097822189331055,"normalized_volume":12.572626113891602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.62,0.6,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-NUCL","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-NUCL","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Nuclear","description":"If \n JD Vance says Nuclear as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":187.59,"volume_24hr":178.93,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":178.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.809935569763184,"normalized_volume":8.907748222351074,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:39.905317Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.21,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-F47","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-F47","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"F-47","description":"If \n JD Vance says F-47 as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":265.48,"volume_24hr":265.48,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":265.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.349968910217285,"normalized_volume":10.122053146362305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-NATI","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-NATI","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"National Security","description":"If \n JD Vance says National Security as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.16999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":79.46,"volume_24hr":79.46,"prob_24h_change":0.52,"volume_24h_change":79.46,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.00466775894165,"normalized_volume":6.246856212615967,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.52]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-VENE","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-VENE","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Venezuela","description":"If \n JD Vance says Venezuela as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.20999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":1.47,"volume_24hr":1.47,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":1.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.2974734604358673,"normalized_volume":0.2652907967567444,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-BIDE","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-BIDE","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Biden","description":"If \n JD Vance says Biden as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":137.78,"volume_24hr":137.78,"prob_24h_change":0.42,"volume_24h_change":137.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.853288650512695,"normalized_volume":7.895481109619141,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.38,0.38,0.82,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-DEMO","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-DEMO","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Democrat","description":"If \n JD Vance says Democrat as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":285.95,"volume_24hr":285.95,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":285.95,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.652750015258789,"normalized_volume":10.392078399658203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.85,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-WOKE","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-WOKE","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Woke / DEI","description":"If \n JD Vance says Woke / DEI as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":326.28,"volume_24hr":311.37,"prob_24h_change":0.32,"volume_24h_change":311.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.004916191101074,"normalized_volume":10.880661010742188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:39.905317Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.85,0.57,0.57,0.33,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-AMER","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-AMER","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"America First","description":"If \n JD Vance says America First as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.14999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":16.06,"volume_24hr":16.06,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":16.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9277892112731934,"normalized_volume":2.611041307449341,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:53:27.065674Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-AI","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-AI","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If \n JD Vance says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":138.67,"volume_24hr":78.67,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":78.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.973199367523193,"normalized_volume":7.915957927703857,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-HELI","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-HELI","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Helicopter","description":"If \n JD Vance says Helicopter as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":17.04,"volume_24hr":10.14,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":10.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.1141278743743896,"normalized_volume":2.7148756980895996,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:53:19.817852Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-MANU","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-MANU","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Manufacturing","description":"If \n JD Vance says Manufacturing as part of Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.15999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":21.27,"volume_24hr":12.91,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":12.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5215883255004883,"normalized_volume":3.124687671661377,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:39.905317Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:06:13.059093Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-NQE","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28-NQE","question":"What will JD Vance say during Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Commencement Address at the U.S. Air Force Academy will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. If JD Vance is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-12T14:00:00Z","volume":1016.98,"volume_24hr":1016.98,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":1016.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.450727462768555,"normalized_volume":15.562790870666504,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:53:27.065674Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:52:48.859855Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T15:11:17.378067Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-air-force-commencement-address/kxvancemention-26may28","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.25,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY28","as_of":"2026-05-26T23:08:14.878490Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?\" — top market at 3% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}