{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","as_of":"2026-10-20T15:02:34.656142Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?\" — 18 markets; highest \"Fraud\" at 91% as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","ticker":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5390.17,"volume_24hr":5298.77,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.870412826538086,"normalized_volume":19.795459747314453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5161.72,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fraud","top_outcome_probability":0.91,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.91,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1328.48,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.392049Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.392049Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.261863Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,99.72,227.32,280.22,295.26,357.37,457.0,479.08,1412.97,1473.79,1517.46,2033.03,2675.6,4195.8,4331.46,5069.88,5246.51],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":18,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-FRAU","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-FRAU","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Fraud","description":"If \n JD Vance says Fraud as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.08999999999999997],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1328.48,"volume_24hr":1328.48,"prob_24h_change":0.91,"volume_24h_change":1328.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.474853515625,"normalized_volume":16.104393005371094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-MEDI","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-MEDI","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Medicare / Medicaid","description":"If \n JD Vance says Medicare / Medicaid as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":340.29,"volume_24hr":340.29,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":340.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.834296226501465,"normalized_volume":10.59067153930664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-TAXP","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-TAXP","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Taxpayer","description":"If \n JD Vance says Taxpayer as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":370.19,"volume_24hr":370.19,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":370.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.148533821105957,"normalized_volume":10.897843360900879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AFFO","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AFFO","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Afford / Affordable / Affordability","description":"If \n JD Vance says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.3500000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":180.69,"volume_24hr":180.69,"prob_24h_change":0.6,"volume_24h_change":180.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.618817329406738,"normalized_volume":8.42501163482666,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.46,0.49,0.6]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-DEMO","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-DEMO","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Democrat","description":"If \n JD Vance says Democrat as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.17999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":375.9,"volume_24hr":375.9,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":375.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.206136703491211,"normalized_volume":10.954151153564453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.65,0.81,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-HEAL","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-HEAL","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Healthcare","description":"If \n JD Vance says Healthcare as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.17000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":136.84,"volume_24hr":91.32,"prob_24h_change":0.55,"volume_24h_change":91.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.521444797515869,"normalized_volume":7.554134368896484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.5,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-TRUM","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-TRUM","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Trump (3+ times)","description":"If \n JD Vance says Trump (3+ times) as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":652.02,"volume_24hr":642.36,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":642.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.317497253417969,"normalized_volume":13.078106880187988,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-ECON","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-ECON","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Economy / Economic","description":"If \n JD Vance says Economy / Economic as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":165.51,"volume_24hr":136.33,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":136.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.716281414031982,"normalized_volume":8.144793510437012,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.44,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-MIDT","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-MIDT","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Midterm","description":"If \n JD Vance says Midterm as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":510.83,"volume_24hr":510.83,"prob_24h_change":0.36,"volume_24h_change":510.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.392139434814453,"normalized_volume":12.113484382629395,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.24,0.26,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.21,0.64,0.66,0.35,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-BIDE","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-BIDE","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Biden","description":"If \n JD Vance says Biden as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":42.35,"volume_24hr":35.31,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":35.31,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.109148025512695,"normalized_volume":4.422851085662842,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-SOCI","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-SOCI","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Socialist / Socialism","description":"If \n JD Vance says Socialist / Socialism as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.11000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":5.14,"volume_24hr":5.14,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":5.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0488803386688232,"normalized_volume":1.0252947807312012,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T14:05:16.493584Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T14:05:16.493584Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-WORK","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-WORK","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Working Class / Middle Class","description":"If \n JD Vance says Working Class / Middle Class as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":104.2,"volume_24hr":104.2,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":104.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.903304576873779,"normalized_volume":6.748074054718018,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T14:32:39.927127Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T14:32:39.927127Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AI","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AI","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If \n JD Vance says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.18000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":68.23,"volume_24hr":68.23,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":68.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.718242168426514,"normalized_volume":5.589659214019775,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AMERD","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AMERD","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"American Dream","description":"If \n JD Vance says American Dream as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":23.27,"volume_24hr":23.27,"prob_24h_change":0.17,"volume_24h_change":23.27,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.2391514778137207,"normalized_volume":3.1663146018981934,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-ID","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-ID","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"ID / Identification","description":"If \n JD Vance says ID / Identification as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":27.02,"volume_24hr":27.02,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":27.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.5375776290893555,"normalized_volume":3.4580302238464355,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AMER","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-AMER","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"America First","description":"If \n JD Vance says America First as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":24.74,"volume_24hr":24.74,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":24.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.359703779220581,"normalized_volume":3.284156084060669,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-CEAS","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-CEAS","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Ceasefire","description":"If \n JD Vance says Ceasefire as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":34.22,"volume_24hr":34.22,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":34.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.039710998535156,"normalized_volume":3.9488725662231445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:00:32.688232Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.07,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-NQE","event_id":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20","slug":"KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT20-NQE","question":"What will JD Vance say during Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJD Vance speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-20T03:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1000.25,"volume_24hr":1000.25,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1000.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.2015380859375,"normalized_volume":14.859709739685059,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T14:05:16.493584Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T14:05:16.493584Z","added_at":"2026-10-20T03:31:32.428189Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancemention/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-announcement/kxvancemention-26oct20","event_title":"What will JD Vance say during his announcement?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.01,0.01]}]}