{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCERUN-28","ticker":"KXVANCERUN-28","slug":"KXVANCERUN-28","title":"When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1380.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.765828132629395,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":916.26,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Oct 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.74,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:23:33.514002Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:23:33.514002Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancerun/when-will-jd-vance-announce-his-presidential-candidacy/kxvancerun-28","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCERUN-28-27OCT01","event_id":"KXVANCERUN-28","slug":"KXVANCERUN-28-27OCT01","question":"Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2027","description":"If JD Vance has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-01T14:00:00Z","volume":1.32,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.2170841097831726,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:23:33.710266Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancerun/when-will-jd-vance-announce-his-presidential-candidacy/kxvancerun-28","event_title":"When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCERUN-28-27JUL01","event_id":"KXVANCERUN-28","slug":"KXVANCERUN-28-27JUL01","question":"Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If JD Vance has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":850.41,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.952698707580566,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:31:51.393123Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T19:06:31.042496Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancerun/when-will-jd-vance-announce-his-presidential-candidacy/kxvancerun-28","event_title":"When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCERUN-28-27APR01","event_id":"KXVANCERUN-28","slug":"KXVANCERUN-28-27APR01","question":"Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2027","description":"If JD Vance has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T14:00:00Z","volume":47.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.594963550567627,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:46:41.403595Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T19:29:21.123334Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancerun/when-will-jd-vance-announce-his-presidential-candidacy/kxvancerun-28","event_title":"When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANCERUN-28-27JAN01","event_id":"KXVANCERUN-28","slug":"KXVANCERUN-28-27JAN01","question":"Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If JD Vance has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":481.24,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.700607299804688,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:32:49.818643Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:32:49.818643Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvancerun/when-will-jd-vance-announce-his-presidential-candidacy/kxvancerun-28","event_title":"When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVANCERUN-28","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:36:28.247861Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?\" — top market at 74% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}