{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","as_of":"2026-11-13T21:56:35.308046Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?\" — 31 markets; highest \"Bernie Sanders\" at 83% as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","ticker":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4576.03,"volume_24hr":4376.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.847448348999023,"normalized_volume":17.86289405822754,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4576.03,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Bernie Sanders","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.83,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":200.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.821031Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.821031Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.019720Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","chart_24h":[840.0,1246.0,1646.0,1652.22,3173.64,3376.03],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":31,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-BSAN","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-BSAN","question":"Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Bernie Sanders","description":"If Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.83,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.434735298156738,"normalized_volume":7.890778541564941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.83]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AELS","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AELS","question":"Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Abdul El-Sayed","description":"If Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":203.0,"volume_24hr":203.0,"prob_24h_change":0.81,"volume_24h_change":203.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.487521171569824,"normalized_volume":7.934926986694336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-PFLA","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-PFLA","question":"Will it be confirmed that Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Peggy Flanagan","description":"If Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":601.0,"volume_24hr":601.0,"prob_24h_change":0.8,"volume_24h_change":601.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.741413116455078,"normalized_volume":11.49268627166748,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.6,0.6,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AHAM","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AHAM","question":"Will it be confirmed that Adam Hamilton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Adam Hamilton","description":"If Adam Hamilton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":0.52,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.052146911621094,"normalized_volume":10.079861640930176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JSTR","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JSTR","question":"Will it be confirmed that Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Juliana Stratton","description":"If Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":0.52,"volume_24h_change":400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.052146911621094,"normalized_volume":10.079861640930176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AAND","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AAND","question":"Will it be confirmed that Annie Andrews publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Annie Andrews","description":"If Annie Andrews publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.434735298156738,"normalized_volume":7.890778541564941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-EWAR","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-EWAR","question":"Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Elizabeth Warren","description":"If Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":247.61,"volume_24hr":247.61,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":7.610000000000014,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.206268310546875,"normalized_volume":8.536053657531738,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-ESLO","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-ESLO","question":"Will it be confirmed that Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Elissa Slotkin","description":"If Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.434735298156738,"normalized_volume":7.890778541564941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AKIM","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AKIM","question":"Will it be confirmed that Andy Kim publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Andy Kim","description":"If Andy Kim publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":318.42,"volume_24hr":318.42,"prob_24h_change":0.09000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":118.42000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.15480899810791,"normalized_volume":9.32936954498291,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-CMUR","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-CMUR","question":"Will it be confirmed that Chris Murphy publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Chris Murphy","description":"If Chris Murphy publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":406.0,"volume_24hr":406.0,"prob_24h_change":0.2,"volume_24h_change":406.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.111946105957031,"normalized_volume":10.129874229431152,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JOSS","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JOSS","question":"Will it be confirmed that Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":"If Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":400.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.052146911621094,"normalized_volume":10.079861640930176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MPEL","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MPEL","question":"Will it be confirmed that Mary Peltola publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Mary Peltola","description":"If Mary Peltola publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.434735298156738,"normalized_volume":7.890778541564941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-RWAR","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-RWAR","question":"Will it be confirmed that Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Raphael Warnock","description":"If Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MWAR","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MWAR","question":"Will it be confirmed that Mark Warner publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Mark Warner","description":"If Mark Warner publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-TDUC","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-TDUC","question":"Will it be confirmed that Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Tammy Duckworth","description":"If Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.09999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T20:37:47Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T20:28:49.955722Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-SCOL","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-SCOL","question":"Will it be confirmed that Scott Colom publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Scott Colom","description":"If Scott Colom publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AALS","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-AALS","question":"Will it be confirmed that Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Angela Alsobrooks","description":"If Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T20:36:07Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T20:28:49.955722Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-CBOO","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-CBOO","question":"Will it be confirmed that Cory Booker publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Cory Booker","description":"If Cory Booker publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-CPAP","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-CPAP","question":"Will it be confirmed that Chris Pappas publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Chris Pappas","description":"If Chris Pappas publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T20:37:44Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T20:28:49.955722Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JFET","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JFET","question":"Will it be confirmed that John Fetterman publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"John Fetterman","description":"If John Fetterman publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JTAL","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-JTAL","question":"Will it be confirmed that James Talarico publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"James Talarico","description":"If James Talarico publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-KGIL","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-KGIL","question":"Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Kirsten Gillibrand","description":"If Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MCAN","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MCAN","question":"Will it be confirmed that Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Maria Cantwell","description":"If Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T20:37:45Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T20:28:49.955722Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MHAS","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MHAS","question":"Will it be confirmed that Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Maggie Hassan","description":"If Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MHEI","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MHEI","question":"Will it be confirmed that Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Martin Heinrich","description":"If Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MKEL","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-MKEL","question":"Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Mark Kelly","description":"If Mark Kelly publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-PWEL","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-PWEL","question":"Will it be confirmed that Peter Welch publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Peter Welch","description":"If Peter Welch publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T20:37:32Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T20:28:49.955722Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-RBLU","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-RBLU","question":"Will it be confirmed that Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Richard Blumenthal","description":"If Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-RGAL","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-RGAL","question":"Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Ruben Gallego","description":"If Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-TJAC","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-TJAC","question":"Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Troy Jackson","description":"If Troy Jackson publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T17:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T17:32:26.234101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-TKAI","event_id":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03","slug":"KXVANHOLLENBACKERS-27JAN03-TKAI","question":"Will it be confirmed that Tim Kaine publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?","group_item_title":"Tim Kaine","description":"If Tim Kaine publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\n\"The caucus vote\" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed:\nBacking Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes.\nBy the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying \"aye\" on a voice vote.\n\nA senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies.\n\nOnce the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-13T20:37:44Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T21:55:25.987493Z","added_at":"2026-11-13T20:28:49.955722Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03","event_title":"Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}]}