{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","ticker":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2972.39,"volume_24hr":2972.39,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.73897933959961,"normalized_volume":17.2390079498291,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2349.24,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"8.7%","top_outcome_probability":0.56,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.56,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1375.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:03:43.980309Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:03:43.980309Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.260094Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","chart_24h":[0.0,100.0,2127.62,2327.62,2748.24,2963.71],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.7","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.7","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.7 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.7%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":1375.0,"volume_24hr":1375.0,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":1375.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.261157989501953,"normalized_volume":16.258773803710938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T19:48:52.433827Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T19:48:52.433827Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.8","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.8","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.8 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.8%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":997.39,"volume_24hr":997.39,"prob_24h_change":0.33,"volume_24h_change":988.71,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.722942352294922,"normalized_volume":14.80988597869873,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:03:44.075664Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:03:44.075664Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.9","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.9","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.9 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.9%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.531025886535645,"normalized_volume":12.745257377624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T19:33:49.394690Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T19:33:49.394690Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-A9.2","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-A9.2","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be above 9.2 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 9.2%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 9.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T17:03:47.591429Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T17:03:47.591429Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.6","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E8.6","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.6 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.6%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E9.0","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E9.0","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 9.0 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"9.0%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 9.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E9.1","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E9.1","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 9.1 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"9.1%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 9.1% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E9.2","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-E9.2","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 9.2 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"9.2%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 9.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-U8.6","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT03-U8.6","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be below 8.6 on Oct 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"Below 8.6%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-03T21:04:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T18:32:50.330443Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T14:05:23.341424Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-3-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct03","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVHGCB-26OCT03","as_of":"2026-10-02T20:05:12.878576Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?\" — top market at 56% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}