{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","ticker":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7061.93,"volume_24hr":7061.93,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.013376235961914,"normalized_volume":21.176532745361328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7018.94,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"8.8%","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.64,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":168.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.833314Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.833314Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.157537Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","chart_24h":[0.05,10.19,10.19,5808.67,5995.25,6531.25,7061.93],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.8","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.8","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.8 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.8%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.19999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":168.0,"volume_24hr":168.0,"prob_24h_change":0.64,"volume_24h_change":168.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.486751556396484,"normalized_volume":8.192132949829102,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T15:59:10.518179Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T15:59:10.518179Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.7","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.7","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.7 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.7%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":1012.72,"volume_24hr":1012.72,"prob_24h_change":0.26,"volume_24h_change":1012.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.09013557434082,"normalized_volume":14.913000106811523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T15:28:48.965702Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T15:28:48.965702Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.36,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.9","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.9","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.9 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.9%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":10.72,"volume_24hr":10.72,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":10.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.4140782356262207,"normalized_volume":1.8858509063720703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.947291Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.947291Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.6","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.6","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.6 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.6%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":1510.72,"volume_24hr":1510.72,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":1510.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.358198165893555,"normalized_volume":16.684783935546875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T15:59:10.518179Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T15:59:10.518179Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E9.0","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E9.0","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 9.0 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"9.0%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 9.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":10.72,"volume_24hr":10.72,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":10.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.4140782356262207,"normalized_volume":1.8858509063720703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.947291Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.947291Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E9.1","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E9.1","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 9.1 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"9.1%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 9.1% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.12000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":10.72,"volume_24hr":10.72,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":10.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.4140782356262207,"normalized_volume":1.8858509063720703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T15:13:35.085339Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T15:13:35.085339Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-A9.1","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-A9.1","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be above 9.1 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 9.1%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 9.1% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":407.53,"volume_24hr":407.53,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":407.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.405986785888672,"normalized_volume":11.25379467010498,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.947291Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T16:15:26.947291Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.5","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-E8.5","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.5 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"8.5%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.5% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":1604.72,"volume_24hr":1604.72,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1604.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.711626052856445,"normalized_volume":16.960878372192383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T15:13:35.085339Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T15:13:35.085339Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-U8.5","event_id":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04","slug":"KXVHGCB-26OCT04-U8.5","question":"Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be below 8.5 on Oct 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"Below 8.5%","description":"If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.5% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T14:01:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-04T21:04:00Z","volume":2326.08,"volume_24hr":2326.08,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":2326.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.94927215576172,"normalized_volume":18.70890235900879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T15:59:10.518179Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T15:59:10.518179Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T14:10:17.264368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvhgcb/generic-congressional-ballot-on-oct-4-2026/kxvhgcb-26oct04","event_title":"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVHGCB-26OCT04","as_of":"2026-10-04T16:24:39.746401Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?\" — top market at 1% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}