{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","ticker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":293.0,"volume_24hr":293.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.006097793579102,"normalized_volume":8.799528121948242,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":293.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"BRPRES26LULA","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 37%","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.88,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:53:52.498494Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:53:52.498494Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.190295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","chart_24h":[0.0,30.0,219.0,222.0,285.0,293.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-37","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-37","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 37% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 37%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.88,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.17656196653842926,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-40","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-40","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.73,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.17656196653842926,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-42","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-42","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 42%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.44354239106178284,"normalized_volume":0.3757234513759613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:53:52.658713Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:53:52.658713Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-44","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-44","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 44%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.17656196653842926,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-45","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-45","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.31,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.17656196653842926,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.31]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-46","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-46","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":21.0,"volume_24hr":21.0,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":21.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.511204719543457,"normalized_volume":2.9743311405181885,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-48","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-48","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":125.0,"volume_24hr":125.0,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":125.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.595466613769531,"normalized_volume":7.28119421005249,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T20:51:30.012175Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T20:51:30.012175Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-50","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-50","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":135.0,"volume_24hr":135.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":135.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.869083404541016,"normalized_volume":7.512974262237549,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T02:25:23.019969Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T02:25:23.019969Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-53","event_id":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA-53","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 53%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 53% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.391527533531189,"normalized_volume":1.1787588596343994,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T12:39:56.699865Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T02:04:50.314283Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr1/brazil-presidential-election-lula-vote-percent-1st-round/kxvotebr1-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26LULA","as_of":"2026-09-02T13:18:57.975333Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)\" — top market at 14% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}