{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","as_of":"2026-10-06T21:50:50.524355Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent\" — 9 markets; highest \"At least 48%\" at 61% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","ticker":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":969.24,"volume_24hr":969.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.579496383666992,"normalized_volume":12.745235443115234,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":921.63,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"BRPRES26LULA","parent_event_id":"group:BRPRES26LULA","probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 48%","top_outcome_probability":0.61,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.61,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":95.22,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T20:58:34.920187Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T20:58:34.920187Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.565416Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","chart_24h":[0.0,164.22,189.22,446.72,969.24],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-48","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-48","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":95.22,"volume_24hr":95.22,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":95.22,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.246422290802002,"normalized_volume":6.491909027099609,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T03:52:59.909799Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T03:52:59.909799Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-49","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-49","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 49%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 49% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":124.02,"volume_24hr":124.02,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":124.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.101218223571777,"normalized_volume":7.257701873779297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T20:58:35.029003Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T20:58:35.029003Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-50","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-50","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":250.0,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.608802795410156,"normalized_volume":9.504191398620605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T18:15:23.205271Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T18:15:23.205271Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-52","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-52","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 52%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":500.0,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.428803443908691,"normalized_volume":12.030567169189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T20:44:45.386296Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T20:44:45.386296Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-44","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-44","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 44%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T23:07:16.099233Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T23:07:16.099233Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-45","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-45","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T23:22:33.008684Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T23:22:33.008684Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-46","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-46","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:33:19.313559Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:33:19.313559Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-47","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-47","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 47%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 47% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T10:44:20.797051Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T10:44:20.797051Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-51","event_id":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA","slug":"KXVOTEBR2-BRPRES26LULA-51","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 51% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"At least 51%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T23:22:33.008684Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T23:22:33.008684Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:44.664290Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotebr2/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent/kxvotebr2-brpres26lula","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}