{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","as_of":"2026-11-04T10:53:22.823675Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent\" — 10 markets; highest \"At least 34%\" at 91% as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15441.94,"volume_24hr":8785.73,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.088233947753906,"normalized_volume":24.747325897216797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":10347.67,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 34%","top_outcome_probability":0.91,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.184879Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.184879Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.687311Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","chart_24h":[1208.8300000000002,1212.29,1212.04,1474.71,1442.21,1470.0,1574.1000000000001,1576.68,1740.74,600.79,1026.6200000000001,1202.76,6787.7300000000005,6787.7300000000005,8785.73],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-36","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-36","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 36%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":17.5,"volume_24hr":2.58,"prob_24h_change":-0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":2.58,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.487349271774292,"normalized_volume":2.3885207176208496,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-38","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-38","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 38%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.45999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":12.44,"volume_24hr":3.46,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-0.1299999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.6697946190834045,"normalized_volume":1.894015908241272,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-42","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-42","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 42%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1481.65,"volume_24hr":705.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":694.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.89772891998291,"normalized_volume":14.957571983337402,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-40","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-40","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.26,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":681.97,"volume_24hr":332.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.30999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":213.02000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.113850593566895,"normalized_volume":11.950355529785156,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-44","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-44","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 44%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1468.16,"volume_24hr":1446.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1425.1299999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.867510795593262,"normalized_volume":14.920147895812988,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.55,0.55,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-46","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-46","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":713.96,"volume_24hr":712.09,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":712.09,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.931583404541016,"normalized_volume":12.118579864501953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-48","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-48","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1051.23,"volume_24hr":1000.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04,"volume_24h_change":1000.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.301197052001953,"normalized_volume":13.58559799194336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T08:25:10.491912Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T08:25:10.491912Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-50","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-50","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":9184.43,"volume_24hr":4583.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04,"volume_24h_change":3442.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.294218063354492,"normalized_volume":23.362966537475586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T08:25:10.491912Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T08:25:10.491912Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-34","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-34","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 34%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.08999999999999997],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":830.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.682308197021484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T10:42:58.463947Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-32","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-GOVPARTYIL-26DBAI-32","question":"Will Darren Bailey receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":"At least 32%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T08:41:21.232982Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T08:41:21.232982Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/illinois-governor-election-darren-bailey-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-govpartyil-26dbai","event_title":"Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}