{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","as_of":"2026-11-03T22:24:44.133453Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent\" — 9 markets; highest \"At least 50%\" at 90% as of 2026-11-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2166.55,"volume_24hr":12.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.9275761842727661,"normalized_volume":15.73145866394043,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1033.05,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"HOUSECA45-26DTRA","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 50%","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-03T06:18:27.995367Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T06:18:27.995367Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.687311Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-54","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-54","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 54%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":212.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.10000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.2337160110473633,"normalized_volume":8.555963516235352,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":[0.7,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-50","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-50","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1754.55,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.61244773864746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-52","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-52","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 52%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.371883392333984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":[0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-56","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-56","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 56%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-58","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-58","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 58%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-60","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-60","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 60%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:15:31.335124Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-62","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-62","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 62%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T05:33:18.952465Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T05:33:18.952465Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-64","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-64","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 64%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:32:32.857739Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:32:32.857739Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-66","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-HOUSECA45-26DTRA-66","question":"Will Derek Tran receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 66%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derek Tran ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:32:32.857739Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:32:32.857739Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:30.806487Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ca-45-house-election-derek-tran-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-houseca45-26dtra","event_title":"CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent","chart_24h":null}]}