{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1500.0,"volume_24hr":1500.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.382282257080078,"normalized_volume":14.425329208374023,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1500.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 50%","top_outcome_probability":0.69,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.69,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":100.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-03T04:22:52.972538Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T04:22:52.972538Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.488110Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","chart_24h":[400.0,800.0,900.0,1100.0,1300.0,1300.0,1500.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-50","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-50","question":"Will French Hill receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by French Hill in the 2026 AR-02 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by French Hill ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.69,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.903830528259277,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T04:38:13.969050Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T04:38:13.969050Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.635735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","event_title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-52","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-52","question":"Will French Hill receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 52%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by French Hill in the 2026 AR-02 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by French Hill ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.192902565002441,"normalized_volume":12.745257377624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T04:38:13.969050Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T04:38:13.969050Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.635735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","event_title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-54","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-54","question":"Will French Hill receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 54%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by French Hill in the 2026 AR-02 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by French Hill ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":0.32,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.192902565002441,"normalized_volume":12.745257377624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T04:38:13.969050Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T04:38:13.969050Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.635735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","event_title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-56","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-56","question":"Will French Hill receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 56%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by French Hill in the 2026 AR-02 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by French Hill ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.21,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.436736106872559,"normalized_volume":8.755331039428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T04:22:53.074131Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T04:22:53.074131Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.635735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","event_title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-48","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-48","question":"Will French Hill receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by French Hill in the 2026 AR-02 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by French Hill ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. 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Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T04:06:47.860760Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T04:06:47.860760Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.635735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","event_title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-60","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-60","question":"Will French Hill receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 60%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by French Hill in the 2026 AR-02 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by French Hill ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:01:53.896712Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:01:53.896712Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.635735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","event_title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-62","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL-62","question":"Will French Hill receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 62%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by French Hill in the 2026 AR-02 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by French Hill ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T17:16:40.589289Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T17:16:40.589289Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:27.635735Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ar-02-house-election-french-hill-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ar02-26fhil","event_title":"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-AR02-26FHIL","as_of":"2026-10-03T05:02:19.240977Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent\" — top market at 54% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}