{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","as_of":"2026-11-04T18:20:21.745622Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent\" — 10 markets; highest \"At least 24%\" at 29% as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","title":"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5923.91,"volume_24hr":2867.54,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.515438079833984,"normalized_volume":20.06478500366211,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3775.54,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 24%","top_outcome_probability":0.29,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.37000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":751.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T15:25:09.338026Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T15:25:09.338026Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.479251Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas","chart_24h":[6.0,2035.0,2037.0,2867.54],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-24","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-24","question":"Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 24%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. 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Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. 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Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1255.65,"volume_24hr":290.54,"prob_24h_change":-0.13999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":290.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.650097846984863,"normalized_volume":14.287665367126465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T17:36:45.838221Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T17:36:45.838221Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas","event_title":"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-26","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-26","question":"Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 26%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1417.26,"volume_24hr":366.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":363.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.448786735534668,"normalized_volume":14.776214599609375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T17:36:45.838221Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T17:36:45.838221Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas","event_title":"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent","chart_24h":[0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-30","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-30","question":"Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 30%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":925.0,"volume_24hr":510.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":510.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.65296745300293,"normalized_volume":13.091193199157715,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T17:36:45.838221Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T17:36:45.838221Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas","event_title":"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-32","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-32","question":"Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 32%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.900712251663208,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T15:58:04.031950Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T15:58:04.031950Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas","event_title":"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-34","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-34","question":"Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 34%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.030000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.900712251663208,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T15:58:04.031950Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T15:58:04.031950Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas","event_title":"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-20","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-20","question":"Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 20%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T19:22:03Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T18:08:25.924972Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T18:08:25.924972Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T18:33:14.096730Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-04-house-election-lupe-castillo-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il04-26lcas","event_title":"IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-36","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL04-26LCAS-36","question":"Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 36%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lupe Castillo ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. 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Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. 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