{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.42614826560020447,"normalized_volume":0.32776692509651184,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 34%","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.97,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-12T00:16:40.155561Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T00:16:40.155561Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.479251Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-34","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-34","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 34%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.97,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.4527047872543335,"normalized_volume":0.3757234513759613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T15:38:52.308133Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T15:38:52.308133Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-36","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-36","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 36%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-38","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-38","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 38%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-40","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-40","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T08:52:56.843431Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T08:52:56.843431Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-42","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-42","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 42%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-44","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-44","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 44%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-46","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-46","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T08:38:17.871467Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-48","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-48","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T07:12:55.129407Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T07:12:55.129407Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-50","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-50","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T09:07:25.562920Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T09:07:25.562920Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","as_of":"2026-09-12T21:06:50.296420Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent\" — top market at 97% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}