{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","as_of":"2026-11-04T23:33:49.893739Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent\" — 9 markets; highest \"At least 34%\" at 97% as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":367.82,"volume_24hr":190.15,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.060505867004395,"normalized_volume":9.27810287475586,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":232.51999999999998,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 34%","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T19:44:08.223776Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T19:44:08.223776Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.479251Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","chart_24h":[116.05,116.05,159.15,170.15,180.15,190.15],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-46","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-46","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.87,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":110.47,"volume_24hr":43.1,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":43.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.295755386352539,"normalized_volume":6.233913421630859,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T09:41:23.102394Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T09:41:23.102394Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-42","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-42","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 42%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":147.05,"volume_24hr":147.05,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":147.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.483196258544922,"normalized_volume":7.007143020629883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T20:16:11.019695Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T20:16:11.019695Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-34","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-34","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 34%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.3386223018169403,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-40","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-40","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.9299999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":108.3,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.182024002075195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-36","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-36","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 36%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-38","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-38","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 38%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-44","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-44","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 44%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T08:56:14.360861Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T08:56:14.360861Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-48","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-48","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:54:16.268922Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:54:16.268922Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-50","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-IL16-26PNOL-50","question":"Will Paul Nolley receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Nolley ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/il-16-house-election-paul-nolley-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-il16-26pnol","event_title":"IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}