{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","as_of":"2026-11-04T23:25:24.174930Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent\" — 8 markets; highest \"At least 40%\" at 38% as of 2026-10-28 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":129.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.303116321563721,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":129.51,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 40%","top_outcome_probability":0.38,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-28T03:10:02.558672Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T03:10:02.558672Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.479251Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-40","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-40","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.975754737854004,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-44","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-44","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 44%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":29.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.2778165340423584,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:54:16.268922Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:54:16.268922Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-32","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-32","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 32%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-34","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-34","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 34%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-36","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-36","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 36%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-38","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-38","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 38%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-42","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-42","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 42%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-46","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MCHI-46","question":"Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Chiaradio ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-chiaradio-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mchi","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}