{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","as_of":"2026-11-04T23:33:41.452229Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent\" — 8 markets; highest \"At least 64%\" at 3% as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9377719759941101,"normalized_volume":0.8527039289474487,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 64%","top_outcome_probability":0.03,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T07:54:14.739373Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T07:54:14.739373Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.479251Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-64","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-64","question":"Will Michael Guest receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 64%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Guest ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.91,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9619051814079285,"normalized_volume":0.900712251663208,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T11:13:22.043422Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T11:13:22.043422Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-54","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-54","question":"Will Michael Guest receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 54%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Guest ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-56","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-56","question":"Will Michael Guest receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 56%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Guest ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-58","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-58","question":"Will Michael Guest receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 58%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Guest ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-60","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-60","question":"Will Michael Guest receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 60%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Guest ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. 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Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-66","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-66","question":"Will Michael Guest receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 66%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Guest ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T11:13:22.043422Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T11:13:22.043422Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-68","event_id":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE","slug":"KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26MGUE-68","question":"Will Michael Guest receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?","group_item_title":"At least 68%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Michael Guest ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T21:38:33.377239Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:14:24.932669Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/ms-03-house-election-michael-guest-vote-percent/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-ms03-26mgue","event_title":"MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}