{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","ticker":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28","title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18993.98,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.549341201782227,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":12351.07,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lisa Murkowski","top_outcome_probability":0.33,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T20:59:55.707642Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T20:59:55.707642Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.780968Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-LMUR","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-LMUR","question":"Will Lisa Murkowski vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"Lisa Murkowski","description":"If Lisa Murkowski votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Lisa Murkowski to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1178.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.331611633300781,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:25:28.348405Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T02:57:21.536317Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-RPAU","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-RPAU","question":"Will Rand Paul vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"Rand Paul","description":"If Rand Paul votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Rand Paul to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1910.24,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.497570037841797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:31:51.393123Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T20:48:34.848490Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-MMCC","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-MMCC","question":"Will Mitch McConnell vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"Mitch McConnell","description":"If Mitch McConnell votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Mitch McConnell to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.060000000000000026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1495.41,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.382612228393555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:25:28.348405Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T02:57:21.536317Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-SCOL","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-SCOL","question":"Will Susan Collins vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"Susan Collins","description":"If Susan Collins votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Susan Collins to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1688.18,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.93018341064453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:34:39.331706Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T16:41:47.823917Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-BCAS","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-BCAS","question":"Will Bill Cassidy vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"Bill Cassidy","description":"If Bill Cassidy votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Bill Cassidy to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":3521.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.443389892578125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:43.456066Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:43.456066Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-JFET","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-JFET","question":"Will John Fetterman vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"John Fetterman","description":"If John Fetterman votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by John Fetterman to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":4336.41,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.499258041381836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:34:39.331706Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T00:13:34.584639Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-TTIL","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-TTIL","question":"Will Thom Tillis vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"Thom Tillis","description":"If Thom Tillis votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Thom Tillis to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":3599.42,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.553775787353516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T01:13:17.046347Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTELAKE-28-RGAL","event_id":"KXVOTELAKE-28","slug":"KXVOTELAKE-28-RGAL","question":"Will Ruben Gallego vote for Kari Lake?","group_item_title":"Ruben Gallego","description":"If Ruben Gallego votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nShould such a vote result in the rejection of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, or should a withdrawal of the nominee's nomination be formally communicated to the United States Senate, this market shall resolve to No. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the Nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, this market shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the confirmation of the Nominee to the Office be held, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. If the nominee is withdrawn (or intent to nominate a nominee is withdrawn by the President or President-elect), then the market will resolve to No. \n\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by Ruben Gallego to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1265.3,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.642842292785645,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:15:59.817942Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-24T07:59:37.074739Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T14:01:27.850481Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotelake/which-senators-will-vote-for-kari-lake/kxvotelake-28","event_title":"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTELAKE-28","as_of":"2026-06-10T18:01:21.296431Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?\" — top market at 33% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}