{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","title":"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1348.88,"volume_24hr":1348.88,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.981761932373047,"normalized_volume":14.376855850219727,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":987.88,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 35%","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.94,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":521.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-15T01:55:32.164019Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T01:55:32.164019Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:19:45.085658Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alaska-us-senate-primary-mary-peltola-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-aksenadvance26aug18mpel","chart_24h":[0.0,200.0,401.0,423.88,926.88,1187.88,1348.88],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-35","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-35","question":"Will Mary Peltola receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 35%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.17999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":521.0,"volume_24hr":521.0,"prob_24h_change":0.94,"volume_24h_change":521.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.152978897094727,"normalized_volume":12.190018653869629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T06:09:54.495707Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T06:09:54.495707Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:19:45.319232Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alaska-us-senate-primary-mary-peltola-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-aksenadvance26aug18mpel","event_title":"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-30","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-30","question":"Will Mary Peltola receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 30%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":604.0,"volume_24hr":604.0,"prob_24h_change":0.93,"volume_24h_change":604.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.92376136779785,"normalized_volume":12.771697998046875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T02:11:15.602508Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T02:11:15.602508Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:19:45.319232Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alaska-us-senate-primary-mary-peltola-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-aksenadvance26aug18mpel","event_title":"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-45","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-45","question":"Will Mary Peltola receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":223.88,"volume_24hr":223.88,"prob_24h_change":0.42,"volume_24h_change":223.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.098052978515625,"normalized_volume":9.129925727844238,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T03:11:39.727996Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T03:11:39.727996Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:19:45.319232Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alaska-us-senate-primary-mary-peltola-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-aksenadvance26aug18mpel","event_title":"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-40","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-40","question":"Will Mary Peltola receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T01:55:32.399964Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T01:55:32.399964Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:19:45.319232Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alaska-us-senate-primary-mary-peltola-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-aksenadvance26aug18mpel","event_title":"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-50","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-50","question":"Will Mary Peltola receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.16999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T00:56:50.455014Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T00:56:50.455014Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:19:45.319232Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alaska-us-senate-primary-mary-peltola-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-aksenadvance26aug18mpel","event_title":"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-55","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL-55","question":"Will Mary Peltola receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 55%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the Alaska U.S. Senate primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T02:41:33.247178Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T02:41:33.247178Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:19:45.319232Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alaska-us-senate-primary-mary-peltola-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-aksenadvance26aug18mpel","event_title":"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-AKSENADVANCE26AUG18MPEL","as_of":"2026-08-15T06:14:17.162251Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent\" — top market at 93% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}