{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9692.83,"volume_24hr":9603.9,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.94197654724121,"normalized_volume":23.194440841674805,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8344.26,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 28%","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.98,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":200.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T04:41:11.774629Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T04:41:11.774629Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.555094Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","chart_24h":[90.35,91.96000000000001,65.96000000000001,46.96,3.6,1383.6,1893.6,1893.6,2093.9,7803.9,9603.9],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-28","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-28","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 28%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.418381690979004,"normalized_volume":8.755331039428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T02:42:40.523539Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T02:38:28.056113Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-37","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-37","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 37% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 37%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.9299999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.5,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3033791780471802,"normalized_volume":0.9993987679481506,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T04:57:50.980119Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T04:57:50.980119Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-34","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-34","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 34%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":186.78,"volume_24hr":131.42,"prob_24h_change":-0.33000000000000007,"volume_24h_change":76.05999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.692024230957031,"normalized_volume":8.532135009765625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T03:08:33.187701Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T03:08:33.187701Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-40","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-40","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":2010.33,"volume_24hr":2007.33,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":2004.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.480995178222656,"normalized_volume":18.0117130279541,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T04:45:47.093265Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T04:41:12.091236Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-43","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-43","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 43% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 43%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 43% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":1405.0,"volume_24hr":1405.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1405.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.330848693847656,"normalized_volume":16.35596466064453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T03:13:06.730047Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T03:08:33.187701Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.31,0.02,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-46","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-46","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":1305.15,"volume_24hr":1305.15,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1305.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.899490356445312,"normalized_volume":16.025209426879883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T04:09:55.235228Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T04:09:55.235228Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-49","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-49","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 49%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 49% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":1951.0,"volume_24hr":1940.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.12000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1929.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.27089500427246,"normalized_volume":17.87019157409668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T04:57:50.980119Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T04:57:50.980119Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-52","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-52","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 52%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":2610.57,"volume_24hr":2610.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.12000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":2609.43,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.129484176635742,"normalized_volume":19.269733428955078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T03:13:06.730047Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T03:08:33.187701Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-31","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR-31","question":"Will John Larson receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 31%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T17:53:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":19.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-19.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.793736219406128,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T04:57:50.980119Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T04:57:50.980119Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T18:01:12.881842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ct-01-democratic-primary-john-larson-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ctprimary01d26jlar","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent","chart_24h":[0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-CTPRIMARY01D26JLAR","as_of":"2026-08-12T05:27:10.888116Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent\" — top market at 1% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}